[tommos34]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Big Cold front sweeping through after warm temps surge from the south Sunday/Monday.

Looks like some squal lines forecasted to come through. Should start after 10pm Monday the 4th and last till early morning.

The 850mb Winds are shown to be in the 60s and 70 kts.

I "DOUBT" the severe stuff will make it this far North but worth watching..

Expect about an inch of rain. Euro model shows the storm/cold front moving slower and ends the rain for Tuesday night whereas the other one shows it to end Tuesday during day. .

From what I'm hearing it looks like a squall line may develop but it twould be brief and narrow Tuesday at best. Certainly possible for a warning here and there but like you said, nothing really worth getting too excited about.

[tommos34]

Severe weather potential Sunday-Tuesday with Monday being the most active. We will begin to feel the effect's of it Monday. General rain is forecasted. But by Tuesday once the actual colf front pushes through, may be seeing a brief squall line develop. Could have a few isolated non-severe storms then.

Severe weather is not likely just a possibility as this point.

[Cambium]

1st spot to hit 100 degrees in 2011 is .... Phoneix, AZ

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by tommos34

Severe weather potential Sunday-Tuesday with Monday being the most active. We will begin to feel the effect's of it Monday. General rain is forecasted. But by Tuesday once the actual colf front pushes through, may be seeing a brief squall line develop. Could have a few isolated non-severe storms then.

Severe weather is not likely just a possibility as this point.

Less than half inch of rain on the last GFS for coastal CT.

But I do see the 850 temps go from 58 degrees to 23 degrees within 12 hours. A strong push across ... might even see flurries flying around.

Surface temps go from 52 degrees 2am Tuesday to 32 degrees 2am Wednesday. We'll feel that drop Tuesday afternoon.

[tommos34]

[quote=Cambium;18555811]Less than half inch of rain on the last GFS for coastal CT.
Is that for the whole thing including Monday-Tuesday? that is fairly conservative considering the broadness of this system.

If we manage to get a brief downpour or thunderstorm that would be quarter to half an inch right there.

Too far out to say though. I don't like our odds for this one. Need to be further south or west for any big time storms.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by tommos34

Is that for the whole thing including Monday-Tuesday? that is fairly conservative considering the broadness of this system.

If we manage to get a brief downpour or thunderstorm that would be quarter to half an inch right there.

Too far out to say though. I don't like our odds for this one. Need to be further south or west for any big time storms.

There's actually 2 events..
A smaller one on the 4th for a total of .18" of rain...then on the 6th total of 1.10" qpf for coastal CT.

It also looks like snow is possible to fall on the 6th for a few hours.

[Cambium]

Snow should fall in norther tier of Connecticut Sunday night/Monday Morning. No accumulations.

[tommos34]

weather.com - Map Room - Satellite Map, Weather Map, Doppler Radar - Northeast US: Doppler Radar 1800 Mile

Get ready for rainy commute Monday. Highest elavations of the state may start out as wet snow/sleet but temps across this area are forecast to rise quickly above freezing, which would transistion any wintry precip over to rain by or before 10AM.

On the same note, Looks like no severe weather for us. Just windy & wet. Could be a diff story further west and south.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

1st spot to hit 100 degrees in 2011 is .... Phoneix, AZ

Isn't that usually the case (at least for cities; as I imagine Death Valley, CA would often be the first before Phoenix)?

[HeadedWest]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Isn't that usually the case (at least for cities; as I imagine Death Valley, CA would often be the first before Phoenix)?

I would have expected Yuma, AZ to hit 100 before Phoenix.