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Old 09-08-2011, 05:26 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,299 posts, read 11,219,938 times
Reputation: 3693
Quote:
Originally Posted by rajmelk View Post
Holy crap...what happened overnight? Our street in the north side of W. Hartford is flooded with 2' of water this morning and I can't get out of my driveway! Don't think we were supposed to get heavy rain & thunderstorms...
Yeah its a mess in so many places... NYState thruway closed down from flooding. 10,000 people told to evacuate Bingmanton NY... PA flooding is crazy. Rivers over their banks and some above record flood stage.

Evacuation: Broome County: 10,000 Expected To Be Evacuated | WBNG-TV: News, Sports and Weather Binghamton, New York | Local

NYState Thruway Closures: New York State Thruway Authority

Looks like the MidWest Flooding of the Spring is becoming NorthEast flooding of the fall.

Over a foot of rain just in 5 weeks in our area.

Heavy bands within a few hours again.

Chance of rain next 4 days.

This is because of Lee...and Lee can't move out because of Katia. So basically the 2 systems are pushing against eachother and squeezing everything over us!
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Old 09-08-2011, 06:50 AM
 
55 posts, read 73,176 times
Reputation: 21
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yeah its a mess in so many places... NYState thruway closed down from flooding. 10,000 people told to evacuate Bingmanton NY... PA flooding is crazy. Rivers over their banks and some above record flood stage.

Evacuation: Broome County: 10,000 Expected To Be Evacuated | WBNG-TV: News, Sports and Weather Binghamton, New York | Local

NYState Thruway Closures: New York State Thruway Authority

Looks like the MidWest Flooding of the Spring is becoming NorthEast flooding of the fall.

Over a foot of rain just in 5 weeks in our area.

Heavy bands within a few hours again.

Chance of rain next 4 days.

This is because of Lee...and Lee can't move out because of Katia. So basically the 2 systems are pushing against eachother and squeezing everything over us!
_____

We are getting so much rain. Seems like we are getting heavier rain now then we did when Irene came through. My fireplace began leaking this morning...anyone know who to call about that?
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Old 09-08-2011, 09:20 AM
 
5,193 posts, read 3,578,416 times
Reputation: 1719
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nightmary View Post
_____

We are getting so much rain. Seems like we are getting heavier rain now then we did when Irene came through. My fireplace began leaking this morning...anyone know who to call about that?
On top of that there are signs now that Nate may get pulled north through the gulf..long term models show it running right up the appalachians...
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Old 09-08-2011, 09:29 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,299 posts, read 11,219,938 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
On top of that there are signs now that Nate may get pulled north through the gulf..long term models show it running right up the appalachians...

Yup. Its the pattern we're in. Should come out of it by mid October. Patterns usually last 6-10weeks. Sometimes we get a quick 4 week pattern or a long 12 wek pattern. These are just my own observations past few years.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nightmary View Post
_____

We are getting so much rain. Seems like we are getting heavier rain now then we did when Irene came through. My fireplace began leaking this morning...anyone know who to call about that?
Call a Chimney place. A place that has fireplaces and wood stoves. Or just a general contractor. Either its the Damper or some loose cement around the bricks and Flue.
-------------------
16 Day GFS long range details for NYC.. Enjoy. :-)

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Old 09-08-2011, 04:31 PM
 
Location: Live in NY State, (sometimes) work in CT
6,402 posts, read 7,543,273 times
Reputation: 2185
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yup. Its the pattern we're in. Should come out of it by mid October. Patterns usually last 6-10weeks. Sometimes we get a quick 4 week pattern or a long 12 wek pattern. These are just my own observations past few years.



Call a Chimney place. A place that has fireplaces and wood stoves. Or just a general contractor. Either its the Damper or some loose cement around the bricks and Flue.
-------------------
16 Day GFS long range details for NYC.. Enjoy. :-)
Considering that the all-time September low temperature for Central Park (which has a big 'heat island effect' that keeps the lows higher than surrounding areas) is 39 (and that occurred at the very end of the month) I find those numbers hard to believe.......lows in the mid-upper 40s though unusual for there I would find believable. Also consider that "low temperatures" in the park have gone up much more than high temperatures in the last few decades.....the last "record low for the date" to be broken outright there (as opposed to "tied") actually occured in the 80s (I believe the 54 on July 4, 1986).....all other daily record lows achieved since then in CPK only tied an existing record (i.e. 39 degrees for Oct 9, 1999, 44 degrees for Sept. 19, 1990, 1 deg in Jan. 2004 but I don't know the date)
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Old 09-09-2011, 05:29 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,299 posts, read 11,219,938 times
Reputation: 3693
Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post
Considering that the all-time September low temperature for Central Park (which has a big 'heat island effect' that keeps the lows higher than surrounding areas) is 39 (and that occurred at the very end of the month) I find those numbers hard to believe.......lows in the mid-upper 40s though unusual for there I would find believable. Also consider that "low temperatures" in the park have gone up much more than high temperatures in the last few decades.....the last "record low for the date" to be broken outright there (as opposed to "tied") actually occured in the 80s (I believe the 54 on July 4, 1986).....all other daily record lows achieved since then in CPK only tied an existing record (i.e. 39 degrees for Oct 9, 1999, 44 degrees for Sept. 19, 1990, 1 deg in Jan. 2004 but I don't know the date)
Nice stats.

Yeah I dont believe it either. GFS sometimes goes overboard. But there is a Cold shot coming. You're going to step outside one morning and be like ..Huh?

I need to clean my wood stove.

My thinking is Litchfield, Hartford, Tolland, Windham 42-46 degrees midnight to 8am couple days next week.

Fairfield, New Haven, Middlesex, New London 46-52 degrees as the night low.
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Old 09-09-2011, 02:47 PM
 
5,193 posts, read 3,578,416 times
Reputation: 1719
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Nice stats.

Yeah I dont believe it either. GFS sometimes goes overboard. But there is a Cold shot coming. You're going to step outside one morning and be like ..Huh?

I need to clean my wood stove.

My thinking is Litchfield, Hartford, Tolland, Windham 42-46 degrees midnight to 8am couple days next week.

Fairfield, New Haven, Middlesex, New London 46-52 degrees as the night low.

Looks like La Nina rebuilding...hmmm
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Old 09-09-2011, 06:03 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,299 posts, read 11,219,938 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Looks like La Nina rebuilding...hmmm
Yup! We're officially back to LaNina now after being Neutral for a little. It was forecasted to do so but they are saying its quicker to develop and stronger than forecasted.

This image will update when they do. To keep this simple...below .50 is La Nina. Above .50 is El Nino. Last winter a LONG COLD winter for us was a "Strong" La Nina.

Models were forecasting this winter to be weak maybe moderate. Now look. Black dashed lines represents the average of the models.... Is it me or is La Nina forecasted to be stronger then last winter????? More firewood please.

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Old 09-09-2011, 06:08 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,299 posts, read 11,219,938 times
Reputation: 3693
Here's the link to La Nina is back story:

NOAA

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center: La Niña is back

La Niña, which contributed to extreme weather around the globe during the first half of 2011, has re-emerged in the tropical Pacific Ocean and is forecast to gradually strengthen and continue into winter. Today, forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center upgraded last month’s La Niña Watch to a La Niña Advisory.
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Old 09-09-2011, 09:14 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
22,299 posts, read 11,219,938 times
Reputation: 3693
The Flood Warning Continues for
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM.
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER 6 PM SUNDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...NUMEROUS HOMES IN THE MAPLES AREA OF SHELTON ARE AFFECTED
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