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Old 10-24-2011, 08:53 AM
 
Location: Woburn, MA / W. Hartford, CT
5,973 posts, read 4,957,747 times
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For Hartford, I'll go with 30", below average. A late start to winter will cause a major dent in the totals.

Just curious as to why 86" is such a big deal...didn't Hartford have a 100"+ season now that long ago in the 1990s?
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Old 10-24-2011, 09:42 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Definetly a crazy year...and to think it was all just within 4 week time makes it even crazier.

That 45" is just the average for Hartford... They got 86" total for the season last year. Bridgeport 62". Boston 81".

In the last 2 years Hartford got 117"

What do you guys think about this year? Any thoughts or predictions?
Ironically the year before last the areas just south of here (Philly to DC) had the same phenomenom where they got 60-80" of snow in just a month or two (Philly's totals for this year were pretty impressive too, but not like the year before, this year was really NYC to Boston's "turn")

Quote:
Originally Posted by rajmelk View Post
For Hartford, I'll go with 30", below average. A late start to winter will cause a major dent in the totals.

Just curious as to why 86" is such a big deal...didn't Hartford have a 100"+ season now that long ago in the 1990s?
That was the 1995-96 winter, when EVERYONE from DC to Maine got record snow. I believe that was their all-time total though (for NYC it was for sure, at 75.6", I think it was the only 100"+ season for both Boston and Hartford). And I think the 86" for Hartford last winter is their #2 all time total.
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Old 10-24-2011, 12:58 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Let me throw this stat out there real quick...

The most accumulating snow in the month of October for Central park since 1870 is .8 inches in 1925.... I wish we had stats for this in this state because you know for sure there were years with a couple inches in October.

With that said.. Models are now showing as a broken piece of energy off the coast bringing back the storm closer to the coast...and as Cold air will be locked into place for Saturday, Northern CT could see some accums.

Still 6 days away so we'll have to keep checking..

Of course accu puts out a map already. LOL This is for the first 2 storms

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Old 10-24-2011, 02:55 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,242 posts, read 18,717,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Let me throw this stat out there real quick...

The most accumulating snow in the month of October for Central park since 1870 is .8 inches in 1925.... I wish we had stats for this in this state because you know for sure there were years with a couple inches in October.

With that said.. Models are now showing as a broken piece of energy off the coast bringing back the storm closer to the coast...and as Cold air will be locked into place for Saturday, Northern CT could see some accums.

Still 6 days away so we'll have to keep checking..

Of course accu puts out a map already. LOL This is for the first 2 storms
NWS has now a weird forecast for Saturday of "partly sunny with a chance of rain" Their discussion says they're literally "hedging their bets".
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Old 10-24-2011, 03:17 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Its Pointless for me to come in here and give every single run of the models (unless you want to) but I am sure meterologists are scratching their head at the latest Euro model which has enough cold air in place and brings the OTS storm GFS had closer to the coast for this weekend. LOL

Let the fun begin.

Re-Cap::

Wednesday: Chance of showers. Highs around 60.
Thursday: Rain & Raw. Temps in 50s
Saturday night: TBA. 1 model shows Rain. 1 Model shows nothing. 2 models show snow/rain.(1 being insane with half foot north of 84)
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Old 10-24-2011, 03:49 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas, NV
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I personally have not lived in Connecticut since 2005, but it seems the winters have gotten worse since I left. I remember the winter of 2001-2002 was much warmer than normal and we hardly received any snow at all. 2002-2003 was different, much colder and a lot snowier, with the first snowstorm the day before Thanksgiving, 2003-2004 was downright frigid, 2004-2005 was normal.

After that 04-05 winter my family relocated to Orlando, FL and I am now in Las Vegas
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Old 10-24-2011, 04:18 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,242 posts, read 18,717,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Its Pointless for me to come in here and give every single run of the models (unless you want to) but I am sure meterologists are scratching their head at the latest Euro model which has enough cold air in place and brings the OTS storm GFS had closer to the coast for this weekend. LOL

Let the fun begin.

Re-Cap::

Wednesday: Chance of showers. Highs around 60.
Thursday: Rain & Raw. Temps in 50s
Saturday night: TBA. 1 model shows Rain. 1 Model shows nothing. 2 models show snow/rain.(1 being insane with half foot north of 84)
Actually, the latest NWS discussion (4:22pm) seems to suggest more certainty of something for Saturday and even mentions the snow (for Central Park they are showing a low of 41 Friday night and a low of 40 Saturday night so snow even in coastal CT sounds like a possibility as it would be in the 30s).

Ironically they didn't update their weird forecast I mentioned earlier yet though....
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Old 10-24-2011, 04:35 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DavieJ89 View Post
I personally have not lived in Connecticut since 2005, but it seems the winters have gotten worse since I left. I remember the winter of 2001-2002 was much warmer than normal and we hardly received any snow at all. 2002-2003 was different, much colder and a lot snowier, with the first snowstorm the day before Thanksgiving, 2003-2004 was downright frigid, 2004-2005 was normal.

After that 04-05 winter my family relocated to Orlando, FL and I am now in Las Vegas
Active pattern. Entire 1980s was way under average. Looks like we're entering a 60s type pattern at this pace...

Looks like NWS Albany ackowledges what I saw on the Euro...but they are leaning towards the GFS... http://forecast.weather.gov/product....&highlight=off

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT MODELS INDICATE THAT ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGGING SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL INDUCE ANOTHER SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH.

GFS DEVELOPS THIS LOW FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH AND EAST THAT ONLY THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA GETS ANY PCPN.

THE ECMWF DEVELOPS A CLASSIC NOR`EASTER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION.

WILL ONCE AGAIN FOLLOW THE LEAD OF THE GFS AND FORECAST CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING...WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S...LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE 20S AND LOWER 30S...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE 40S...LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...WITH

Last edited by Cambium; 10-24-2011 at 04:45 PM..
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Old 10-24-2011, 04:47 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas, NV
5,779 posts, read 14,510,775 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Active pattern. Entire 1980s was way under average. Looks like we're entering a 60s type pattern at this pace...

Looks like NWS Albany ackowledges what I saw on the Euro...but they are leaning towards the GFS... National Weather Service Text Product Display

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT MODELS INDICATE THAT ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGGING SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES WILL INDUCE ANOTHER SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH.

GFS DEVELOPS THIS LOW FAR ENOUGH TO THE SOUTH AND EAST THAT ONLY THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA GETS ANY PCPN.

THE ECMWF DEVELOPS A CLASSIC NOR`EASTER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACROSS THE REGION.

WILL ONCE AGAIN FOLLOW THE LEAD OF THE GFS AND FORECAST CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING...WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S...LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE 20S AND LOWER 30S...HIGHS SATURDAY IN THE 40S...LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY...WITH
My father grew up in Danbury, CT in the 1960s, he told me that back then, it snowed A LOT. He said that at that time, 6" was considered a flurry

I was too young to remember any of the CT winters of the 90s, I was born in December 23, 1989 (which my mother said was the coldest day of the year that year) and my family moved to Orlando for the first time in 1995, moved to Meriden in 2001, Naugatuck in 2004 and back to Orlando at the end of 2005
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Old 10-24-2011, 08:19 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,280 posts, read 74,503,009 times
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Just want to post this for future laughs..The Euro from today (runs twice a day) has this result... I can hear you all laughing from here. LOL Boston would be rain.. The legend is not snowfall inches...thats water equivalent. LMAO.... Since its October figure a heavy snow so 6:1 ratios... 1 inch = 6 inches of snow.
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