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Old 09-16-2010, 07:35 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619

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I have to bring something up....to those not into weather, to those who think this is abnormal, to those who dont think anything about these extremes around the world... We only began weather record keeping in late 1800's...think about that...

Earth is not only billions of years old but humans been around about 500,000 years ....and we're only basing "extremes" and "abnomalties" on 150 years??????????

On that note I think future generations will be in for more suprises than we are with record breaking events...we have no idea how severe or common or frequent events were...

Just think of the possibilities
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Old 09-17-2010, 05:04 AM
 
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Where I live we got no weather extremes. We didn't even get much rain.
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Old 09-17-2010, 07:25 AM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,298 posts, read 18,888,129 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Knock on wood guys... we didnt get the winds, lightning, hail and damage that brooklyn got...Wow they got pounded!

When all you see is leaves, sticks, branches and powerlines and no street pavement you know there was some serious wind.

If a Tornado is confirmed that will make 2 in 3 months and Tornado's are rare down there but only rare to our knowledge from record keeping.
OKX notes in it's "damage reports" some damage in the New Haven area (nowhere near what happened in parts of NYC though). Did the weakened version of the Staten Island/Brooklyn/Queens "tornadoes" cross the Sound in some way that got to the NH area? (Scroll to the bottom of this link: National Weather Service Text Product Display)

Lee Goldberg on Channel 7 last night said he'd be very surprised based on what he sees if it wasn't considered a tornado.

The important thing is, did the reservoirs (which I believe are mostly in lower upstate NY and northern CT) get a lot of rain?
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Old 09-17-2010, 08:36 AM
 
5,064 posts, read 15,900,631 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7 Wishes View Post

The important thing is, did the reservoirs (which I believe are mostly in lower upstate NY and northern CT) get a lot of rain?
Most of Ct. received an inch or less of rain; some areas up to 2". I read in the Connpost that Danbury received .35 inch, which is about what a lot of northern areas received if you look at the link below. (There are several reservoirs in the southern half of the state) Overall, we really didn't get enough rain to make a huge difference to the reservoirs. We need some good, soaking rains that will last several hours.

Intellicast - Estimated Precipitation in Hartford, Connecticut

Last edited by andthentherewere3; 09-17-2010 at 08:48 AM..
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Old 09-17-2010, 09:38 AM
 
Location: Quiet Corner Connecticut
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Was not much up here in the Quiet Corner, certainly not enough compared to lower Fairfield County and the New Haven area.

Can't believe there would have been more than half an inch.
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Old 09-17-2010, 09:21 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
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UNREAL...I remember trying to convince someone here that Tornados are rare but happening often now and they didn't get it...Thats 3 in 3 months for NYC... 2 touched down yesterday alone and straight line winds reported too..


YouTube - Tornado Grows in Perth Amboy NJ/ Staten Island 9.16.2010

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
941 PM EDT FRI SEP 17 2010

...TWO TORNADOES AND A MICROBURST CONFIRMED ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010...

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR PARK SLOPE IN KINGS COUNTY (BROOKLYN) NY...


LOCATION...PARK SLOPE IN KINGS COUNTY (BROOKLYN) NY
DATE...SEPTEMBER 16 2010
ESTIMATED TIME...5:33 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...80 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...75 YARDS
YARDS PATH LENGTH...2 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.67 N / 73.99 W
ENDING LAT/LON...40.69 N /73.96 W
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO
NEAR PARK SLOPE (BROOKLYN) IN KINGS COUNTY NY ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN PARK SLOPE AND LIFTED 2 MILES NE OF
PARK SLOPE.


THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

&&

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR FLUSHING AND BAYSIDE IN QUEENS COUNTY NY...

LOCATION...FLUSHING/BAYSIDE IN QUEENS COUNTY NY
DATE...SEPTEMBER 16 2010
ESTIMATED TIME...5:42 PM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF1
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...100 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...100 YARDS
PATH LENGTH...4 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...40.74 N / 73.84 W
ENDING LAT/LON...40.80 N / 73.76 W
* FATALITIES...1
* INJURIES...0


* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED A TORNADO
NEAR FLUSHING/BAYSIDE IN QUEENS COUNTY NY ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 2 1/2 MILES SOUTH OF FLUSHING AND LIFTED
1 MILE NE OF BAYSIDE.


THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

&&

...MICROBURST /STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE/ CONFIRMED NEAR
MIDDLE VILLAGE AND FOREST HILLS IN QUEENS COUNTY NY...

LOCATION...MIDDLE VILLAGE/FOREST HILLS IN QUEENS COUNTY NY
DATE...SEPTEMBER 16 2010
ESTIMATED TIME...5:40 PM EDT
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...125 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...5 MILES
PATH LENGTH...8 MILES
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0


* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW YORK NY HAS CONFIRMED A
MICROBURST /STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE/ NEAR MIDDLE VILLAGE IN QUEENS
COUNTY NY ON SEPTEMBER 16 2010.

THE PATH OF THE MICROBURST WAS FROM MIDDLE VILLAGE TO FOREST HILLS.


THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/NYC.

FOR REFERENCE...
A MICROBURST IS A CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFT WITH AN AFFECTED OUTFLOW AREA
OF LESS THAN 2 1/2 MILES WIDE AND PEAK WINDS LASTING LESS THAN
5 MINUTES. MICROBURSTS MAY INDUCE DANGEROUS HORIZONTAL/VERTICAL
WIND SHEARS...WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE AND
CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS ARE GENERALLY ANY WIND
THAT IS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH ROTATION...USED MAINLY TO DIFFERENTIATE
THEM FROM TORNADIC WINDS.
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Old 09-19-2010, 07:01 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
some models showing a major storm for time period of october 1 to october 3rd!! Whether its a hurricane or nor'easter or both we'll have to monitor this...it will form in carribean and head up the coast... I wont start a new thread since #1 it hasnt even formed....#2 i think i used my 1 hurricane topic starter up already. Lol
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Old 09-19-2010, 08:26 PM
 
Location: Quiet Corner Connecticut
1,335 posts, read 3,304,911 times
Reputation: 454
the Earl topic should of been in here anyway

NHC has an 80 percent chance of a Cape Verdean storm developing soon, at least a TD within 24-48 hours likely. Then we get Lisa. Think it'll take two weeks to get from there to here? Cause I have no reason to believe it won't drift off well east like Danielle, Igor, and Julia.
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Old 09-20-2010, 05:24 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,518 posts, read 75,307,397 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowerdeck View Post
the Earl topic should of been in here anyway

NHC has an 80 percent chance of a Cape Verdean storm developing soon, at least a TD within 24-48 hours likely. Then we get Lisa. Think it'll take two weeks to get from there to here? Cause I have no reason to believe it won't drift off well east like Danielle, Igor, and Julia.
Not sure, with the high pressure over us it can stall the thing down south and as the High moves East the storm will slowly come up the coast? So far into future, even models are all over the place but definetly showing something happening.
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Old 09-20-2010, 08:12 PM
 
Location: Quiet Corner Connecticut
1,335 posts, read 3,304,911 times
Reputation: 454
The thing is already at a pretty northerly latitude anyway, and moving to the northwest rather than the west.

It will probably become a TD and eventually TS shortly, but I sense a track of the storm similar to Julia.
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