Quote:
Originally Posted by MissTerri
From the op's link: : According to health ministry figures, 2,022 people suffered side effects out of an estimated 2.59 million who had received injections of Cervarix by the end of 2014. Out of an estimated 790,000 people given Gardasil 453 experienced side effects.
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I am assuming here that you are dismayed because those 2022 and 453 people suffered side effects out of the total number of people vaccinated, am I right?
If 2022 people out of 2.59 million have side effects from Cervarix, then your chances of having a side effect are .0780694%.
As for Gardasil? Your chances of having a side effect after getting that vaccine are .0573417%.
Not 7% or 5%, but .07% and .05%. In other words, without rounding up, 1/20th and 1/14th of 1%.
Women make up 50.8% of the population of the US. That's about 162,606,155 women in the US. Of those 162,606,155 women, the breakdown is as follows: birth to 17: 23.1%; 18 to 34: 22.6%; 35 to 64: 39.7%; 65 and over: 14.6%.
The median age for men and women getting HPV associated cancers are as follows:
- 49 years for HPV-associated cervical cancer
- 67 for HPV-associated vaginal cancer
- 66 for HPV-associated vulvar cancer
- 68 for HPV-associated penile cancer
- 60 among women and 57 among men for HPV-associated anal cancer
- 61 among women and 62 among men for HPV-associated rectal cancer
- 62 among women and 59 among men for HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancers
What's interesting about this is very, very few HPV associated cancers show up in the group aged from birth to 17 years old. What this means is that out of the 38,793 HPV associated cancers diagnosed yearly, those cancers are spread across the upper age groups.
As the younger age group, those aged under 17, receive their vaccinations, that means that as they move up into their respective age groups, the cancer and death rates from cancer associated with HPV will start to drop. The rate probably won't go to zero because, as we've pointed out over and over and over and over again, no vaccine is 100% effective.
Currently, out of the 23,000 women who are diagnosed with HPV associated cancer yearly, 11,955 women were diagnosed with HPV associated cervical cancer. Out of those 11,955 women, 4217 of them died.
So right now we are comparing side effects to deaths.
From the CDC:
Has anyone died after receiving an HPV vaccine?
Some deaths among people who received an HPV vaccine have been reported to VAERS. This does not mean that the vaccine caused the death, only that the death occurred after the person got the vaccine. CDC and FDA review all available information on reports of death following all vaccines, including HPV vaccines.
From June 2006 through September 2015, when about 80 million doses of HPV vaccine had been given out in the United States, VAERS received 117 reports of death after people received the Gardasil vaccine. Among the 117 reports of death, many could not be further studied because there was not enough information included in the report to verify that a person had died. In 51 of the reports, CDC reviewed medical records, autopsy reports, or death certificates and verified that the person had died. After careful review of every reported case of death that has happened after Gardasil vaccination, CDC concluded:
- There is no diagnosis that would suggest Gardasil caused the death
- There is no pattern of death occurring with respect to time after vaccination
- There is no consistent vaccine dose number or combination of vaccines given among the reports
With Gardasil, women stand a .0573417% of a
side effect.
A woman's chances of getting cervical cancer alone from an HPV associated virus is .0096689%, far less than the number of side effects she'd get from the vaccine.
So you'd think it would make sense not to get the vaccine, right? Not so fast.
Without the vaccine, if a woman is one of the 11,955 women diagnosed with cervical cancer, her chances of dying from it are
35%.
It's sort of like flying on an airliner. Air travel is safe compared to driving in cars because the number of deaths associated with flying are so many less than the number of deaths from car accidents. But that's the
number of deaths.
If you are one of the several hundred people in an airliner going down, what are your
percentages for dying as opposed to your percentages for dying in a car wreck right before it happens? Lots higher, more than likely. Like, maybe close to 100%.
Before you have the wreck, flying is safer. When you're in the wreck, the chances of dying are higher. Same with HPV vaccines when it comes to cervical cancer. Before you have the cancer, if you get the vaccine, your chances of having a side effect is higher than your chance of getting the cancer. But if you do get the cancer, your side effect from the vaccine is way, way lower than your chance of dying.
And cervical cancer is only ONE cancer you can get from an HPV associated virus.