Tornados in Dallas (Earth: apartment, home, earthquake)

[jacob]

Originally Posted by Guerilla

Thanks, that really brightned up my day!

I have two things to say :

First one : after thinking more about what i wrote, I correct myself.

If you don't ever drink and drive, and practice defensive driving, and always wear seat belts and drive under speed limits, and dont drive in bad driving conditions (sleet, snow, etc), then chances of fatal car accident are way under 1 in 100,000.

If you have at least a college education, manage your finances well, and are not gambling addict, etc, monitor your credit report regularly, and are not suffering from any terminal illness, etc, chances of going bankrupt are also way under 1 in 100,000.

If you are living in a safe neighbourhood, and dont tend to pick fights, and are not into drugs, have your house monitored, etc, then chances of violent crime also reduces, not sure if it will beat the tornadoes though

Second thing :

Probability of owning a house = 70% (home ownership rates)
Probability of taking atleast one vacation on an average every year = 70%
Probability of having and raising kids = 90%+ ( i presume)
Probability of living past 60 = 90%+ (based on life insurance data)
...

List of positive occurences is also pretty large. So we should be happy about it, and not be so risk averse. I would rather be Polly than be a risk analyst.

[GoPadge]

For more information on the history of tornadoes in the Metroplex (1950 - 1995) see this thread.

http://www.city-data.com/forum/dalla...hlight=tornado

[KewGee]

Originally Posted by jacob

The probability of your house getting hit by a tornado in a given year is 1 in 10 million.
So approximately, 1 in 100,000 in a lifetime.

Compared to that, chances of a violent crime (rape, robbery, assault, homicide) are 1 in 50, and chances of cancer are 1 in 200, chances of going bankrupt is 1 in 350, and chances of having a fatal car accident are 1 in 10000.

http://www.flame.org/~cdoswell/tor_p...nado_prob.html

Yes, and winning the lottery, the odds are even higher, but people still play and still win. So I'm not taking any chances with the tornadoes.

Good post that gets one thinking!!

[KewGee]

I just heard on Channel 8 about the tornadoes last Friday night. There were a total of 4.

Benbrook - EF0

Haltom City - EF1

East Dallas - EF1

Rockwall County - EF2

We may have a repeat tomorrow. Ugh!

[KewGee]

It seems to me that many people just guess at what county has had the most tornadoes without really looking up the data or just "remembering." It really doesn't matter though, I know that, because so much of Texas is tornado prone anyway and a tornado area is a tornado area.

Well, I can't guess and my memory is not fool proof, so I rely on the statistics.

Anyway, I find this site to be very informative not only about tornadoes, but lightening, snow and ice, drought, floods, hail, etc. It lists data from January 1, 1950 to December 31, 2006 for any county in any state. In my opinion, it's a great and up-to-date site.

http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/ww...wwevent~storms

[GoPadge]

Thanks KewGee, like I didn't have enough to do.... Now I have fresh tornado data to analyze.

[Just Lookin]

Weather all over the world is changing. That is what is bothering me.
When my daughter in law calls and tells me that she has to seek shelter and hears that all day long then I wonder if I should be in Texas. It would make me feel like I was on pins and needles all the time.

Than that 10ft rattle snake on another thread really worries me. I have snakes here but not 10ft long and so fat. What are you guys feeding them?

Look up snakes on the Internet and see the size of some of them. I don't think city people would have a problem but out in the Country where we want to go is where they would be.

So I am standing back and watching the weather right now. I really would take a earth quake over a tornado.

[KewGee]

Originally Posted by Bound for Texas

Weather all over the world is changing. That is what is bothering me.
When my daughter in law calls and tells me that she has to seek shelter and hears that all day long then I wonder if I should be in Texas. It would make me feel like I was on pins and needles all the time.

Than that 10ft rattle snake on another thread really worries me. I have snakes here but not 10ft long and so fat. What are you guys feeding them?

Look up snakes on the Internet and see the size of some of them. I don't think city people would have a problem but out in the Country where we want to go is where they would be.

So I am standing back and watching the weather right now. I really would take a earth quake over a tornado.

Really, I wouldn't worry about the snakes. One just has to be cautious. It's highly unlikely one would ever get inside your house unless you left open the door. In the summer, they only "come out" in the cool mornings or evenings. Truthfully from on CA to another, I would not let snakes be the deciding factor of moving to TX.

I will agree with you though about the earthquakes versus the tornadoes. I've been in a quake and never have been in the tornado. Of course, the tornado threat is there and there have been close calls. If one has an aversion to them as I do, one can be on pins and needles.

Quakes are a different situation and unless one has lived in earthquake country, it is hard to explain. I now have lived in both areas, and I would definitely take the quakes over the tornadoes.

Give it a try and see how you do. You just may find out they really wouldn't bother you as everyone is different. Some people hardly pay any attention to them and others, even the native Texans, get in a frenzy when the threat is there.

[KewGee]

Originally Posted by GoPadge

Thanks KewGee, like I didn't have enough to do.... Now I have fresh tornado data to analyze.

It really is a great site, I think. I check out counties everywhere if I have an interest in moving to a certain area. I just know if I ever move again, it will be a place that isn't prone to tornadoes. I'm sorry, but I'll just never get used to them.

[kawgpz550]

Originally Posted by KewGee

Really, I wouldn't worry about the snakes. One just has to be cautious. It's highly unlikely one would ever get inside your house unless you left open the door. In the summer, they only "come out" in the cool mornings or evenings. Truthfully from on CA to another, I would not let snakes be the deciding factor of moving to TX.

I will agree with you though about the earthquakes versus the tornadoes. I've been in a quake and never have been in the tornado. Of course, the tornado threat is there and there have been close calls. If one has an aversion to them as I do, one can be on pins and needles.

Quakes are a different situation and unless one has lived in earthquake country, it is hard to explain. I now have lived in both areas, and I would definitely take the quakes over the tornadoes.

Give it a try and see how you do. You just may find out they really wouldn't bother you as everyone is different. Some people hardly pay any attention to them and others, even the native Texans, get in a frenzy when the threat is there.

Ok, I live in Arizona right now (but can't wait til I get to Texas, snakes, tornados and ALL ) and I have experienced 2 small earthquakes here (we are on the border of Ariz/Nev/Calif and 2 of their quakes made it here ) I also had my first child in Southern Calif. and there just HAD to be a small earthquake while I was in labor in the hospital...talk about feeling pretty HELPLESS!!!! That was my first quake and never wanted another one...little did I know that we would feel them here in Arizona too...lol
Anyway, from the time I was 13-16 we lived in Arkansas. I went through a couple of tornado warnings, one of which a tornado went right by my house...I guess this is what happened, that's what my parents told me the next day...I slept nicely through the WHOLE THING
I was always fascinated by the tornado warnings...nothing fascinating about earthquakes! No warnings, no rain, hail or any other intresting things to take in. All the sudden your house or whatever just starts moving and you can't walk straight...lol You can possibly beat the destruction from a tornado, but in a quake...bend over and kiss -------------
Sorry...can you tell I don't like EARTHQUAKES?????
I'll take TEXAS and TORNADOS ANYDAY!!!!