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Old 06-13-2014, 11:46 AM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,781,536 times
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certain areas in the United States are already in another housing bubble. Many developing nations are squarely in bubble territory - India, China, Brazil, Indonesia. UK, Australia and Canada are also in established housing bubbles.

Wonder how this is going to turn out...

International housing bubble is forming, IMF warns | 2014-06-12 | HousingWire
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Old 06-13-2014, 11:47 AM
 
5,365 posts, read 6,333,532 times
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No we aren't. China is, but America is not.
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Old 06-13-2014, 03:53 PM
 
4,130 posts, read 4,459,658 times
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IMF link from the article...

IMF Global Housing Watch

Where does the IMF say bubble?

Here's the news room...none of the headlines say bubble (granted some are truncated).

IMF News

If that's HousingWire's opinion then fine, they can present the case. The data is interesting in pointing out increases in the developing world. They can stand by their analysis and provide the proof. If they wish to claim the IMF is stating this and they are not...that's making this up.

They certainly provide data that seems to indicate it, and they say it's high...but not a bubble.

http://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/2014/060514.htm

I can be wrong. Though usually if someone says that a group is championing a position and they do not link a release that says it...it's a big red flag that they are using more than a creative license with the truth. It may also say that if people are exaggerating more than a little as above historical average is not a bubble.

Last edited by EmeraldCityWanderer; 06-13-2014 at 04:06 PM..
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Old 06-13-2014, 06:31 PM
 
2,563 posts, read 3,680,547 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CravingMountains View Post
No we aren't. China is, but America is not.
Sure is, at least in certain places. Bubbles everywhere.
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Old 06-16-2014, 02:14 AM
 
30,894 posts, read 36,937,375 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CravingMountains View Post
No we aren't. China is, but America is not.
America's real estate markets are not monolithic. Come to the San Francisco Bay Area where the price increases have been insane the last several years.
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Old 06-16-2014, 06:52 AM
 
580 posts, read 777,010 times
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China, London, and Singapore. If there is a way to short real estate, would put my shorts in those markets.
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Old 06-16-2014, 11:34 AM
 
48,502 posts, read 96,816,250 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mysticaltyger View Post
America's real estate markets are not monolithic. Come to the San Francisco Bay Area where the price increases have been insane the last several years.
But tis been that way for some years. SF bubble does not make for a US bubble;any more than basically giving away Detroit property does anything.fact is most the nation never got into a bubble in housing really.
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Old 06-17-2014, 03:14 PM
 
Location: Phoenix
30,355 posts, read 19,128,594 times
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The average house price n the USA is less than half the Aussie and Canadian averages and about 65% of the average in the UK and we have a higher average income than all 3 so we don't have a bubble in the USA. I do think the Bay area, OC, and NYC have bubbles caused by low interest and excessive exuberance and some people will get burned.

I think Canada and Aussie are going to have major corrections when their respective economies have a downturn. They're current cockiness is going to take a fall with it.
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