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Old 10-23-2014, 04:40 PM
 
17,874 posts, read 15,936,058 times
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If all the retailers are getting kicked in but what will happen to all the commercial RE? Yes Starbucks, Subway, and Rite Aid can take over for all the mom and pop shops, but they can only open up so many before they start feeling the pinch.

Seems like all retail is going online, warehouse, large strip malls. What will happen to the Main Streets, downtowns, and Town Centers? We they simply be rezoned? Regarding Strip malls, you can also only have so many of those too. Look at the Xanadu in NJ. It is just sitting there. Are they just not going to do anything with it. Why not turn it into goverment housing or something?

In Manhattan all I see are restaurants and bodegas, which are basically restaurants without seating, and the food is ready to just take and go. I see vintage coffee shops, hipster ice cream parlors, boutiques popping up but I doubt they have a market outside the gentrified areas of midtown and Downtown Manhattan.
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Old 10-23-2014, 08:14 PM
 
Location: Riverside Ca
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Commercial space will go down in price. What would you rather have? Less revenue or NO revenue
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Old 10-24-2014, 07:52 AM
 
Location: East of Seattle since 1992, 615' Elevation, Zone 8b - originally from SF Bay Area
44,563 posts, read 81,131,933 times
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That depends on where you are. We have a huge mall in Bellevue, WA (actually 3 together) that's undergoing a great expansion, and is doing very well. That, despite being in a very tech-savvy area where many of the higher paid Amazon. Microsoft and Boeing employees are living. Here in downtown Seattle there are several commercial skyscrapers under construction, plus others with a mix of retail and residential. The low-end retailers such as Walmart, Sears, JC Penney and Target are the ones most affected by online shopping. The high-end shops are doing fine because people don't want to pay $100 for a shirt or $300 for shoes unless they can see them first.

The Bellevue Collection
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Old 10-24-2014, 07:55 AM
 
Location: USA
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In my area a lot of them end up as homes for squatters.
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Old 10-24-2014, 08:04 AM
 
28,455 posts, read 85,361,596 times
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Well run retailers can execute a bricks&mortar strategy just as effectively as anything online.

Poorly run firms eventually get knocked out by competitors that do better.
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Old 10-24-2014, 08:47 AM
 
4,345 posts, read 2,792,327 times
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There's nothing permanent in retail except it purpose: to trade. Trade has existed for 8000 years. The way it's been conducted has changed numerous times. The modern rise and fall of shopping malls, big box stores, downtown shopping districts are just a few ripples on the never ending stream.
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Old 10-24-2014, 10:20 AM
 
17,874 posts, read 15,936,058 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hemlock140 View Post
That depends on where you are. We have a huge mall in Bellevue, WA (actually 3 together) that's undergoing a great expansion, and is doing very well. That, despite being in a very tech-savvy area where many of the higher paid Amazon. Microsoft and Boeing employees are living. Here in downtown Seattle there are several commercial skyscrapers under construction, plus others with a mix of retail and residential. The low-end retailers such as Walmart, Sears, JC Penney and Target are the ones most affected by online shopping. The high-end shops are doing fine because people don't want to pay $100 for a shirt or $300 for shoes unless they can see them first.

The Bellevue Collection
So it is similar to what is going on Manhattan. Only the rich can afford to window shop. It seems like the trend is for all the wealthy to live in cool, vibrant city centers, and I guess the Commercial RE there will always be strong. But what about the Main Streets, and strip malls of the suburbs, exurbs and rural areas where I believe the majority of our people live? Or is this not only a question of commercial RE's fate in those places, but of the residential as well? Experts predict more and more people will flood to the cities and the bordering towns.
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Old 10-24-2014, 10:22 AM
 
17,874 posts, read 15,936,058 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chet everett View Post
Well run retailers can execute a bricks&mortar strategy just as effectively as anything online.

Poorly run firms eventually get knocked out by competitors that do better.
Then why does it seem like they are reeling? Barnes and Nobles, KMart, Best Buy, RadioShack, etc cant seem to pull it together.
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Old 10-24-2014, 11:33 AM
 
Location: East of Seattle since 1992, 615' Elevation, Zone 8b - originally from SF Bay Area
44,563 posts, read 81,131,933 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NJ Brazen_3133 View Post
So it is similar to what is going on Manhattan. Only the rich can afford to window shop. It seems like the trend is for all the wealthy to live in cool, vibrant city centers, and I guess the Commercial RE there will always be strong. But what about the Main Streets, and strip malls of the suburbs, exurbs and rural areas where I believe the majority of our people live? Or is this not only a question of commercial RE's fate in those places, but of the residential as well? Experts predict more and more people will flood to the cities and the bordering towns.
In our suburban city of 50,000 we have only two suburban strip malls, no big box stores. One has just done a complete facelift of all buildings, with new signage, and added Trader Joe's, but with no vacacies had to put out a hardware store. Both of them are full with longtime tenants.
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Old 10-24-2014, 11:48 AM
 
18,547 posts, read 15,579,249 times
Reputation: 16230
Quote:
Originally Posted by NJ Brazen_3133 View Post
If all the retailers are getting kicked in but what will happen to all the commercial RE? Yes Starbucks, Subway, and Rite Aid can take over for all the mom and pop shops, but they can only open up so many before they start feeling the pinch.

Seems like all retail is going online, warehouse, large strip malls. What will happen to the Main Streets, downtowns, and Town Centers? We they simply be rezoned? Regarding Strip malls, you can also only have so many of those too. Look at the Xanadu in NJ. It is just sitting there. Are they just not going to do anything with it. Why not turn it into goverment housing or something?

In Manhattan all I see are restaurants and bodegas, which are basically restaurants without seating, and the food is ready to just take and go. I see vintage coffee shops, hipster ice cream parlors, boutiques popping up but I doubt they have a market outside the gentrified areas of midtown and Downtown Manhattan.
I guess there will be a push for re-zoning away from commercial until it gets back to equilibrium, but who knows?
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