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Old 05-08-2015, 12:22 PM
 
2,015 posts, read 1,646,991 times
Reputation: 2826

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Quote:
Originally Posted by BigCityDreamer View Post
We will definitely have many more recessions. It's a simple economic cycle.

If I had to guess, I'd say the next one will happen by 2018. But it won't be nearly as bad as the last one.
I disagree, the next one will be much worst,remember when experts said this recession would have 6% unemployment for 6 months??!!
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Old 05-08-2015, 09:53 PM
 
384 posts, read 733,784 times
Reputation: 347
How would anyone know?
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Old 05-09-2015, 02:36 AM
 
106,553 posts, read 108,696,306 times
Reputation: 80053
come on , this is an internet forum. things can only play out the way the predictors predict. here
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Old 05-09-2015, 11:39 AM
 
48,502 posts, read 96,810,437 times
Reputation: 18304
Eventual yes as it always has done. What the cause will be is unknown as always. Even the FED actions and consequences are unknown but very such action has consequence which right now only effects savers. if you look at who is investing its much like always even with rates; not retail investors returning in numbers. I also wander the effect that more and more boomers are retiring everyday and want less risk as always. I do not think the markets will return to past numbers when boomers where working really. Might just be more like the great depression retail investors never return for a generation.
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Old 05-10-2015, 05:45 AM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,108,070 times
Reputation: 18603
You guys are absolutely amazing and all but define the meaning of pessimism.

A true pessimist

believes in the worst regardless of the facts.
can always find others or data to support their opinions.
maintains the same outlook and opinions year after year.
is worried about the unknown.
is not deterred by ongoing positive outcomes.
believes the world is full of traps and uncertainties.
believes everyone else is or should be as pessimistic.
expects a troll to jump out from behind every bridge.
believes the present mirrors the worst tragedies of the past.
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Old 05-19-2015, 05:24 PM
 
Location: Greenville, SC
1,884 posts, read 3,444,069 times
Reputation: 1744
All leading economic indicators are in the red, right now.

The stock markets' divergence from reality is a major indicator, regarding when volatility will start to rear its ugly head, again. I'd say we're already there, it's just starting.

The market will crash, and it'll go down a lot worse than in '08 and '09. Even the wonks at too big to fail type banks are sounding the alarm bells.

Don't worry, folks, Yellen has our backs[/sarc]
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Old 05-19-2015, 06:23 PM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,108,070 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HowardRoarke View Post
All leading economic indicators are in the red, right now.

The stock markets' divergence from reality is a major indicator, regarding when volatility will start to rear its ugly head, again. I'd say we're already there, it's just starting.

The market will crash, and it'll go down a lot worse than in '08 and '09. Even the wonks at too big to fail type banks are sounding the alarm bells.

Don't worry, folks, Yellen has our backs[/sarc]
Can you give us a time? And when the time passes without your predicted collapse, instead of issuing new predictions you should find some way of gaining a bit of sense?
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Old 05-19-2015, 07:28 PM
 
Location: Ruidoso, NM
5,667 posts, read 6,590,137 times
Reputation: 4817
Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
ned davis research took another look at the relationship and going as far back as 1927 they found when profits rose more than
20% the s&p returned a mere 1.3% in gains
10 to 20% saw 5.8% in gains
(-10% to + 10% in profits saw a 9.3% jump in gains
(-10%) to (-25%) drop in profits saw 28.6% gains
(-25%) and lower saw a -28% drop in share price.
What is the time scale, on both?

Any charts? Google isn't helping me...
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Old 05-21-2015, 04:37 PM
 
1,254 posts, read 1,057,608 times
Reputation: 3077
Quote:
Originally Posted by jrkliny View Post
Can you give us a time? And when the time passes without your predicted collapse, instead of issuing new predictions you should find some way of gaining a bit of sense?
You're not quoting me, but I'll say anywhere between now and the end of 2018. It will be worse than 2008 by far. If I am wrong, I will never post again. There is nothing the fed can do next time as interest rates are already zero'd out. The only way they could save the system would be a bail in. That would also cause brutal riots and trust in the system would be permanently lost. I just finished watching this video dated today. It just backs up my previous assertions I have written about earlier in this thread.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ptHTvohBoQg
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Old 05-21-2015, 06:08 PM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,108,070 times
Reputation: 18603
How many ways and times can this idiot be wrong???? Do a little research and read some of his predictions from several years ago. He is always wrong.
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