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Old 05-30-2016, 05:24 AM
 
105,773 posts, read 107,776,949 times
Reputation: 79395

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in the end the only thing that counts is how you are doing or those you care about .
personally i don't give a rats butt about median numbers . they don't do a thing to improve my life nor can i do a thing about them .

better to spend your time developing your own path then looking at data about others or all the things there are in life to complain about .

develop an action plan , you will be better off . .

 
Old 05-30-2016, 06:04 AM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,496,913 times
Reputation: 22628
Quote:
Originally Posted by greywar View Post
A lot of people like to start their "See everything is fine" by picking dates like 1970, or 1985.

Go back further. In 1970 income and productivity separated. The median stopped growing meaningfully then . Looking at the current data, the median household income is 53,657. In 1989 it was....53,306.
I'm as skeptical of the "everything is fine" person as I am of the "we're doomed" types.

I can't see a rational person making the argument that there are no problems with the US economy or individual/family personal finance situation.
 
Old 05-30-2016, 06:23 AM
 
24,510 posts, read 18,002,417 times
Reputation: 40204
The middle class is doing just fine. It has seen moderate income growth. What has happened is that the United States has very poor socioeconomic class mobility. The bottom 20% before welfare reform under Bill Clinton had an extremely high birthrate, partly because extra children created extra AFDC money. With the Welfare Reform Act of 1994, AFDC became TNAF with a five year lifetime cap and no extra money for children born to a woman on welfare. The last of that high birthrate era along with our recent massive wave of immigration has dragged down the median. If you were born to the middle class, you're probably doing a bit better than your parents, on average.
 
Old 05-30-2016, 12:53 PM
 
Location: Florida
2,232 posts, read 2,101,863 times
Reputation: 1910
Another job report on Friday to make the picture a little more clear.
 
Old 05-30-2016, 04:19 PM
509
 
6,300 posts, read 6,945,136 times
Reputation: 9399
Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107;44233879[B
]in the end the only thing that counts is how you are doing or those you care about .
personally i don't give a rats butt about median numbers . they don't do a thing to improve my life nor can i do a thing about them .
[/b]
better to spend your time developing your own path then looking at data about others or all the things there are in life to complain about .

develop an action plan , you will be better off . .
The reason I am posting this from the United States is a lot of people in the Ukraine and Russia in 1920 decided they wanted the family farm.

So they shot my grandmother and stole both the farm and horses, making my father an orphan at the age of 10. They then preceded to kill 10 million people just in the Ukraine to make sure they stay in power.

I am doing fine and am old enough that it doesn't matter to me. I don't want my daughter to go through the same experience as my father or mother.

You want a society where everybody has opportunity to move ahead.....or plan on having more guns than they do.
 
Old 05-30-2016, 04:56 PM
 
Location: SoCal
20,160 posts, read 12,664,722 times
Reputation: 16993
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeoffD View Post
The middle class is doing just fine. It has seen moderate income growth. What has happened is that the United States has very poor socioeconomic class mobility. The bottom 20% before welfare reform under Bill Clinton had an extremely high birthrate, partly because extra children created extra AFDC money. With the Welfare Reform Act of 1994, AFDC became TNAF with a five year lifetime cap and no extra money for children born to a woman on welfare. The last of that high birthrate era along with our recent massive wave of immigration has dragged down the median. If you were born to the middle class, you're probably doing a bit better than your parents, on average.
I think it's the opposite. The a United States has very good to excellent social economic class mobility. I know it's an outlier but I need to repeat here. Where else can you go from welfare to billionaire in one generation like the WhatsApp guy. I believe he is from the Ukraine.
 
Old 05-30-2016, 07:20 PM
 
34,258 posts, read 19,233,697 times
Reputation: 17237
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewbieHere View Post
I think it's the opposite. The a United States has very good to excellent social economic class mobility. I know it's an outlier but I need to repeat here. Where else can you go from welfare to billionaire in one generation like the WhatsApp guy. I believe he is from the Ukraine.
Data disagrees. Compared to many other countries our socio economic mobility is lower, and certainly historically its lower. Using outliers (that you admit are outliers) does not make a good argument against the actual research done.

Economic Mobility in the United States

That covers both people opinions, and some factual data.

Heres a quick news article summarizing the pew report:
America Is Even Less Socially Mobile Than Economists Thought - The Atlantic

And of course a quick overview of the situation in general in wikipedia-which has links that explain much of it as well.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socio-..._United_States

BTW as for "Where else?" China, India, Mexico, Canada....in fact pretty much everywhere in the world.
 
Old 05-31-2016, 12:55 AM
 
24,488 posts, read 41,000,067 times
Reputation: 12919
Quote:
Originally Posted by 509 View Post
I disagree.

You SHOULD change the definition "because something around it has changed".

The President is running around touting the great economic recovery due to the economic statistics. The American people are so scared that they are on the verge of a political revolution. The disconnect is directly linked to the economic definitions and reporting. He has no clue except the statistics.

This "jobs recession" is the third one since 1990. Each time the GDP numbers have bounced back fairly quickly, but the jobs have lagged behind. This time we are EIGHT years and still have not recovered to the previous level of employment (adjusted for population growth). THAT is a serious problem.

Words and definitions do matter. IF we redefined recession to focus on jobs instead of GDP the discussion today would be different. Particularly, for the elite who are out of touch with everyday America.

The current definition of recession fails to identify the poor condition of the economy. It needs to be changed.
This is quite ridiculous. If a word is incorrect to use in a specific situation, don't use that word. Changing the definition of a word that has been used for centuries makes no sense. You will immediately invalidate thousands of books and millions of academic papers written since the beginning of the field of economics.

The definition of the term "recession" has nothing to do with what the president is doing or what your political views are. It has nothing to do with "job recession" (whatever that thing you just made up is).

The idea that you're trying to correlate the term with this alleged poor condition of the economy is a demonstration of your lack of understanding of economics as a whole. It might be in your best interest to study the field before you start redefining significant areas of it.
 
Old 05-31-2016, 12:57 AM
 
24,488 posts, read 41,000,067 times
Reputation: 12919
Quote:
Originally Posted by 509 View Post
All professions have their own language and vocabulary. The problem economics is it uses common words with a precise definition. It is fine when I talk to economists. Doesn't work as well with other folks.

Which is why the definition needs to change.....Recession as a term means nothing in describing current economic conditions in this country. It has a precise economic definition that is out of date in today's world.
The problem is not that the word has the wrong definition... the problem is that you are using the word incorrectly. If you need to describe something else, then use another word.

That being said, there's nothing outdated about how a recession is measured.
 
Old 05-31-2016, 08:49 AM
 
Location: Berkeley Neighborhood, Denver, CO USA
17,673 posts, read 29,579,921 times
Reputation: 33222
Default Income up - April 2016

Personal Income increased 0.4% in April, Spending increased 1.0%

Personal income increased $69.8 billion, or 0.4 percent ...in April, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $119.2 billion, or 1.0 percent.




Calculated Risk: Personal Income increased 0.4% in April, Spending increased 1.0%
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