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Old 12-20-2016, 12:26 AM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,567,076 times
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I guess I didn't know that having a primarily service based economy means you can't manufacture weapons of war.

We'll be sure to tell Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, UTC, and every other manufacturer in what is by far the world's dominant defense industry about this insightful wisdom.
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Old 12-20-2016, 05:13 AM
 
4,224 posts, read 3,014,681 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
You don't win wars with burgers and fries. You win wars with weapons of war. These are manufactured in factories, not McDonalds. This is where "service sector economies" fall short. I would take it a step further and suggest "service sector economies" are flawed and doomed to fail.
Well, as by far the global leader in it, our service sector economy has managed to pump out more military spending than the next seven biggest spenders combined, so I think we may have less to worry about in terms of imminent failure than what you suggest.
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Old 12-20-2016, 03:57 PM
 
Location: Metro Detroit, Michigan
29,795 posts, read 24,880,628 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pub-911 View Post
Well, as by far the global leader in it, our service sector economy has managed to pump out more military spending than the next seven biggest spenders combined, so I think we may have less to worry about in terms of imminent failure than what you suggest.
By your logic, wasteful spending is a good thing. So you must love the F-35... Late and overbuget. Not a good position to be in during a war.

I believe the amount of money spent is irrelevant. It's what you get for the money that counts. Also, how much you can produce in a short span of time is critical. That's how wars are won. Not by throwing money aimlessly into the air.

We won WW2 by outproducing the enemy. We could build 50 cheap, crappy Shermans for ever 1 German Tiger tank produced. Our tanks kind of sucked, but they were simple in design, easy to build and easy to troubleshoot and repair. German tanks were far superior, but highly complex and more difficult to repair on the field. At the end of the day, we had more tanks available for combat than the enemy. That's what counts.

Unfortunately, I'm afraid we are repeating the mistakes of our previous opponents. Our weapons are getting more complex and more expensive, which means we get less for our money. This is the kind of stuff that matters in a time of war.
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Old 12-20-2016, 04:10 PM
 
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The fact that war stories and toy soldiers exist is not sufficient grounds to plow under our service-based economy. We have been able to afford smart weapons and stealth technologies well before anyone else, so I would suggest that we are actually in pretty good shape here.
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Old 12-20-2016, 07:05 PM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,567,076 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
By your logic, wasteful spending is a good thing. So you must love the F-35... Late and overbuget. Not a good position to be in during a war.
Every modern military aircraft has been late and over budget. Every. Single. One.

F-22, Eurofighter Typhoon, PAK-FA, Osprey, B-2, Rafael, Gripen. You name it, late and over budget. Does that mean they are inferior aircraft? Nope, F-22 is the best fighter in the world by far. B-2 has taken on the highest risk sorties in Iraq and Balkans wars and been extremely effective at putting munitions on target without loss.


Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
We won WW2 by outproducing the enemy. We could build 50 cheap, crappy Shermans for ever 1 German Tiger tank produced.
I raise the BS flag here, along with a "total BS" pendant hanging below it. Cost of WW2 vehicles here: The cost of ww2 vehicles - Knowledge Glue

Sherman $49k
Tiger $120k

Clearly your claim that we could build 50 Shermans for every Tiger is mathematically challenged. To take it further you're using poor logic because Tiger wasn't the main tank in Germany's armor divisions, of the 30k tanks produced by Germany in 1943-1944 less than 2,000 were Tigers.

1943-1944 tank production:

Panzer III = 8,131
Panzer IV = 10,447
Panther = 5,852
Tiger I = 1,290

Obviously making a direct comparison between Shermans and Tigers as the main representative of Germany's armor is quite misleading. From previous link showing costs of WW2 tanks:

Panzer IV = $46k
Panther = $60k


Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
Unfortunately, I'm afraid we are repeating the mistakes of our previous opponents. Our weapons are getting more complex and more expensive, which means we get less for our money. This is the kind of stuff that matters in a time of war.
Funny you mention this they just released the latest production lot costs for F-35, info here: F-35 ‘Not Out Of Control’: F-35A Prices Drop 5.5% « Breaking Defense - Defense industry news, analysis and commentary



The contract for Low Rate Initial Production (LRIP) Lot 9 will buy 57 aircraft, 34 for the US and 23 for foreign partners Britain, Norway, Italy, Japan, and Israel:

* 42 F-35As (26 US, 16 foreign), the vanilla variant used by the Air Force and most foreign partners, at $102.1 million apiece — 5.5 percent less than the previous lot, LRIP 8, and 60 percent below the first fighters bought under LRIP 1.
* 13 F-35Bs (6 US, 7 foreign), the “jump jet” variant used by the Marine Corps and the Royal Navy, the most technologically challenging model, at $131.6 million apiece — 1.8 percent below LRIP 8.
* 2 F-35Cs (both US), the US Navy variant reinforced for tooth-rattling aircraft carrier takeoffs and landings, at $132.2 million apiece — a 2.5 increase over LRIP 8, but that’s because the Navy slashed its buy in half (from 4 planes to 2), losing economies of scale.



The F-35A at 102 million is already priced competitively with other modern fighters, and this is for a far more capable aircraft. They anticipate LRIP 10 to be another 6-7% lower and when at full production in 2019 $80-$85 million for an F-35A, $110 million for a F-35B, and a $96 million for an F-35C.

I'm not sure how you figure buying a far more capable plane for similar costs as other modern fighters is getting less for our money.
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Old 12-21-2016, 04:34 AM
 
18,950 posts, read 11,586,547 times
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going a little far afield
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Old 12-26-2016, 06:33 AM
 
4,224 posts, read 3,014,681 times
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Originally Posted by lovecrowds View Post
I think it is amazing how intangible the economy is. How of much of it is based on services as opposed to goods.
So did Adam Smith, an early advocate of the so-called goods-fetish. In his day, he found little of productive value in the work of priests, lawyers, physicians, academics, theatrical types, and many others. Those who vote with their dollars seem from long ago to have reached a different conclusion however.
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Old 12-26-2016, 08:27 AM
 
18,803 posts, read 8,462,725 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pub-911 View Post
So did Adam Smith, an early advocate of the so-called goods-fetish. In his day, he found little of productive value in the work of priests, lawyers, physicians, academics, theatrical types, and many others. Those who vote with their dollars seem from long ago to have reached a different conclusion however.
Of course we all know that there are so many benefits to modern medical care. But most stick to the cost side and few examine the dollar benefits.

For instance since the '60's, Medicare patients now live 10 years longer due to medical advances.

So sure we all know that we have spent a lot on those patients. But take those many millions of patients, times the years of further life.

100,000,000 x 10 = 1 billion.

Times the value of one year of life $10K.

Equals $10T. And that is some dandy amount of value.
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Old 12-26-2016, 04:43 PM
 
26,461 posts, read 15,053,236 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
You don't win wars with burgers and fries. You win wars with weapons of war. These are manufactured in factories, not McDonalds. This is where "service sector economies" fall short. I would take it a step further and suggest "service sector economies" are flawed and doomed to fail.
Good point.

However, automation might bring back manufacturing of not many manufacturing jobs.
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