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Old 06-20-2018, 08:58 PM
 
315 posts, read 202,787 times
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Hi All,

Just curious to know what economic indicators you use to determine the trending for the market. I know quite a few people look at real estate/housing and compare to the 2002-2007 period of price appreciation to the appreciation that we've experienced recently.

I think my new indicator predicts that economic pullback is due in early 2019. Why? The last time LeBron James was swept in the finals was June 2007........
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Old 06-20-2018, 09:53 PM
 
5,603 posts, read 4,215,780 times
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When we have a President trying to start a trade war, there is no reason to spend time on other indicators.
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Old 06-21-2018, 01:45 AM
 
Location: Detroit,MI
4 posts, read 912 times
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Default Economic Trend Indicators

Leading indicators often change prior to large economic adjustments & can be used to predict future trends. Lagging indicators, reflect the economy's historical performance and changes to these are only identifiable after an economic trend or pattern has already been established.
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Old 06-21-2018, 08:31 AM
 
315 posts, read 202,787 times
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Makes sense. So my LeBron Finals correlation is more of a lagging indicator.
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Old 06-21-2018, 12:09 PM
 
Location: Lower East Side, NYC
1,844 posts, read 1,096,996 times
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LeBron wasn't alive in 1929.
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Old 06-21-2018, 05:55 PM
 
4,768 posts, read 2,273,078 times
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I remember a couple years ago the big indicator for the ZeroHedge morons was the Baltic Dry index, it was at some sort of all-time low at 250 so it became the standard ammunition in the "we're hitting a recession" crowd. Now that Baltic Dry is as 1,500 instead of 250 are these same experts as interested in that measure? Of course not, it no longer provides evidence of the conclusion they were chasing so it's fallen out of favor. They have moved on to the next obscure measure.

Meanwhile we've got LarryCaldwell in here using his anecdotal experience to declare that the United States is currently experiencing hyperinflation. Any officially published numbers are some great conspiracy of lies among various massive organizations both private/govt and inside/outside of USA, because dammit he's bought something that costs a lot more than it used to so USA belongs with Venezuela in the hyperinflation category.

That's how many economic indicators work, people pick and choose the ones that are conveniently discount as irrelevant or outright lies any indicators that don't fit their worldview.
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