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View Poll Results: When will inflation return to pre-Pandemic levels?
Let than 3 years 27 47.37%
5-8 years 16 28.07%
8-13 years 6 10.53%
More than 13 years 2 3.51%
Never 6 10.53%
Voters: 57. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 02-18-2022, 06:25 PM
 
Location: Flyover part of Virginia
4,232 posts, read 2,454,025 times
Reputation: 5066

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Does anyone still believe inflation will ever return to it's pre-pandemic levels?

I believe we're only in the very early stages of a permanent inflationary crisis that is only going to get immensely worse. We're going to get all the inflation we should have gotten after the 2008 crisis, plus all the Covid inflation, plus far more inflation on top of all that. No matter how much the government rigs the CPI, a 2% inflation reading is gone forever....
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Old 02-18-2022, 07:15 PM
 
5,907 posts, read 4,426,909 times
Reputation: 13442
No, because only madmen think you can have a infinite growth in a finite realm when all the oil has run dry and this is the greatest economic collapse since the great flood.

I think that usually covers it.
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Old 02-18-2022, 08:38 PM
 
Location: Flyover part of Virginia
4,232 posts, read 2,454,025 times
Reputation: 5066
Damn, I forgot to add a 3-5 years option. Oh well.
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Old 02-19-2022, 08:14 AM
 
2,019 posts, read 1,310,086 times
Reputation: 5073
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taggerung View Post
Does anyone still believe inflation will ever return to it's pre-pandemic levels?

I believe we're only in the very early stages of a permanent inflationary crisis that is only going to get immensely worse. We're going to get all the inflation we should have gotten after the 2008 crisis, plus all the Covid inflation, plus far more inflation on top of all that. No matter how much the government rigs the CPI, a 2% inflation reading is gone forever....

I see no data to support your assertion that we will have a "permanent inflationary crisis".

That is contradicted by the last 100 years of historical data, which also includes periods of rampant diseases, some interesting world events, and far worse inflation.
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/F...on-by-year.png


When we bought our first house, the 30 year mortgage rate was 14.5% at that time.
Here is a chart of mortgage rates. Things have been much worse and recovered even in my lifetime.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2604/30-...age-rate-chart
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Old 02-19-2022, 08:15 AM
 
106,558 posts, read 108,713,667 times
Reputation: 80058
The bond market is pricing itself for 2-1/2- 3% inflation
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Old 02-19-2022, 10:31 AM
 
5,214 posts, read 4,015,260 times
Reputation: 3468
Well I mean what kind of question is that?? If I'm not mistaken the only immortal things are (some) elementary particles such as the electrons...they last forever, depending on some interpretation of the future of the universe...


The question is when is the record inflation gonna end: This year? Decade? 20 years? I hope it's sooner.
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Old 02-20-2022, 05:19 AM
 
7,736 posts, read 4,984,285 times
Reputation: 7963
The feds plan is to cause a recession so people spend less.
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Old 02-20-2022, 05:20 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,247,595 times
Reputation: 27861
Quote:
Originally Posted by Taggerung View Post
Does anyone still believe inflation will ever return to it's pre-pandemic levels?

I believe we're only in the very early stages of a permanent inflationary crisis that is only going to get immensely worse. We're going to get all the inflation we should have gotten after the 2008 crisis, plus all the Covid inflation, plus far more inflation on top of all that. No matter how much the government rigs the CPI, a 2% inflation reading is gone forever....
I agree 100%....things have changed. I expected inflation to hit a lot earlier than it did - like a decade ago - but it's here now and it's not going anywhere.
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Old 02-20-2022, 05:23 AM
 
106,558 posts, read 108,713,667 times
Reputation: 80058
Not what the collective wisdom of the bond markets say .

They say we are falling back to 2-1/2 to 3% based on everything known up until fridays close

Last edited by mathjak107; 02-20-2022 at 05:34 AM..
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Old 02-20-2022, 05:58 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,247,595 times
Reputation: 27861
Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
Not what the collective wisdom of the bond markets say .

They say we are falling back to 2-1/2 to 3% based on everything known up until fridays close
Who are you going to believe? The bond market? or me?

Don't answer that question.
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