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This question assumes that you even know who your representative is (most people haven't a clue!)
That is why blaming Obama (or Bush or Clinton) is pointless.
If only C-SPAN were as popular as Jersey Shore! If we fill Congress up with nincompoops, we will get nincompoop policy no matter who is in the White House!
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I think it's a 70% chance for a new rep in the 4th in NC, which is surprising considering how safe that seat used to be. 13th (neighboring) will probably stay with Brad Miller.
No matter which Demopublican or Republicrat is elected, the current United Socialist States of America will continue to operate as a democracy, using bribery, opinion polls, and popularity contests to run the government.
I think it's a 70% chance for a new rep in the 4th in NC, which is surprising considering how safe that seat used to be. 13th (neighboring) will probably stay with Brad Miller.
What baloney. And where did you get that 70% figure from? Just pull it out of your hat? Or is it another press release from the Lawson campaign?
Until we see some reputable polling on that race, one has to assume Price is safe.
David Wasserman, house editor for The Cook Political Report, from the link you so graciously provided yesterday:
Quote:
"All the indicators are that David Price is in a strong position to win re-election.”
What baloney. And where did you get that 70% figure from? Just pull it out of your hat? Or is it another press release from the Lawson campaign?
I pulled it out of the same source as anyone else who is making a prediction on this race.
Quote:
Until we see some reputable polling on that race, one has to assume Price is safe.
Not really. The best you can expect is a neutral race. Based on the behavior of the Price crew in the past couple of days, not even they agree with you.
Quote:
David Wasserman, house editor for The Cook Political Report, from the link you so graciously provided yesterday:
He has no indicators other than previous voting records during presidential elections and he cannot recreate the events of today. That is, a strong anti-Democrat shift in the country combined with the dynamics of a race comparing a hybrid candidate that energizes Rs, Ds, and Is versus a tired, old incumbent who reads off index cards during debates.
The fact that Price slapped together a one page website in 24 hours after the poll and started push polling in 48 hours is enough for me to believe they're more anxious than Wasserman claims to be. The fact that the same campaign dismissed the poll while secretly and hurriedly beginning their campaign immediately after its release speaks volumes.
But hey, don't let that stop you from hand waving based on previous elections and the makeup of Orange and Durham counties. You also don't live here so it's safe to say that your comments have no merit.
I pulled it out of the same source as anyone else who is making a prediction on this race.
And what source would that be...Wishful thinking.com?
Quote:
Not really. The best you can expect is a neutral race. Based on the behavior of the Price crew in the past couple of days, not even they agree with you.
He has no indicators other than previous voting records during presidential elections and he cannot recreate the events of today. That is, a strong anti-Democrat shift in the country combined with the dynamics of a race comparing a hybrid candidate that energizes Rs, Ds, and Is versus a tired, old incumbent who reads off index cards during debates.
The fact that Price slapped together a one page website in 24 hours after the poll and started push polling in 48 hours is enough for me to believe they're more anxious than Wasserman claims to be. The fact that the same campaign dismissed the poll while secretly and hurriedly beginning their campaign immediately after its release speaks volumes.
But hey, don't let that stop you from hand waving based on previous elections and the makeup of Orange and Durham counties. You also don't live here so it's safe to say that your comments have no merit.
All you're doing is taking your cues from the Lawson campaign and repeating their press releases. You've added nothing to substantiate your claim that Lawson is even competitive in this race, let alone a 70% chance of a win..
I've said this before, but it bears repeating..Until you can come up with a reputable poll showing this race to be up for grabs, your claims can't be taken seriously. Reciting Lawson campaign quotes just won't do.
Until then, I'll go with the pundits and pollsters who have almost as one declared this seat to be safe for Price.
And what source would that be...Wishful thinking.com?
Nah, probably from where you got yours, PriceIsInvincible.com.
Quote:
Until then, I'll go with the pundits and pollsters who have almost as one declared this seat to be safe for Price.
You'll go with Price no matter what, because you're a Dem hack and you'd rather have an old fogey who can't function without index cards just because of the letter beside his name on the hope of minimizing losses in 2010.
The pundits and pollsters likely didn't spend much time or research on the 4th. They looked at previous results and simply concluded it was in the bag. They don't live here and neither do you, so it's easy to dismiss all of your claims just as you'd dismiss mine.
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