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Old 09-23-2010, 01:07 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,802 posts, read 41,008,695 times
Reputation: 62204

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Quote:
Originally Posted by golfgod View Post
LauraC (disingenously) wrote;

Define "tried harder". Does it mean put forth a more moderate candiate? If so, it's their own fault, anyone "moderate" enough to win has been so pilloried as a RINO that he's taken his marbles and gone home.

Is is "dump in enough money to overwhelm the airwaves"? If they're not doing that it's because the money people; the RSCC and Rove's 'billionaire boy's club" are smart enough to know that doing that means taking from other, more promising races.

So, what exactly do you mean by "try harder"?
Money
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Old 09-23-2010, 06:09 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,940,832 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
UBER UBER Republican sample.
A 9 point advantage to the democrat in party affiliation doesn't strike me as a "republican" sample.

SurveyUSA Election Poll #17132
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Old 09-23-2010, 06:57 AM
 
Location: NY
2,011 posts, read 3,878,618 times
Reputation: 918
Face it, NY is heavily a Blue State and most likely always will be. I've given up on NY and categorize it in with California and Massachusetts. I hope I'm wrong and it goes the way NJ went. I thought NJ was a lost cause too but their Governor is great now.
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Old 09-23-2010, 12:22 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5303
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
A 9 point advantage to the democrat in party affiliation doesn't strike me as a "republican" sample.

SurveyUSA Election Poll #17132
In a state in which the Democratic advantage is 25 points, a 9 point advantage is insane.

New Sienna College poll has Gillibrand up by 26.
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Old 09-23-2010, 12:24 PM
 
Location: Up on the moon laughing down on you
18,495 posts, read 32,949,941 times
Reputation: 7752
Anything is possible, but I strongly believe Gillibrand is gonna win it
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Old 09-23-2010, 09:37 PM
 
Location: Beautiful Upstate NY!
13,814 posts, read 28,496,245 times
Reputation: 7615
She should be beaten....and bound and gagged, too! She voted yes to Obamacare.
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Old 09-25-2010, 03:40 PM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,802 posts, read 41,008,695 times
Reputation: 62204
Just out - Gillibrand's lead is eroding:

"Two new polls show Republican challenger Joseph DioGuardi closing in on incumbent Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, who along with fellow New York Sen. Chuck Schumer was considered a shoo-in for the seat in November."

FOXNews.com - 40 Days to Decide: Gillibrand's Lead Eroding in New York Senate Polls
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Old 09-26-2010, 12:13 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5303
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
Just out - Gillibrand's lead is eroding:

"Two new polls show Republican challenger Joseph DioGuardi closing in on incumbent Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, who along with fellow New York Sen. Chuck Schumer was considered a shoo-in for the seat in November."

FOXNews.com - 40 Days to Decide: Gillibrand's Lead Eroding in New York Senate Polls
This is what was being discussed earlier in the thread, uber GOP samples. Another poll, released after those two has her up 26 points.
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Old 10-09-2010, 01:12 AM
 
4,135 posts, read 10,814,904 times
Reputation: 2698
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
UBER UBER Republican sample.
No, it isn't. WGRZ is in a very Democratic county (Erie County). I live here. Chances of calling likely voters and getting all Reuplicans in the sample are almost nil. The County ( city and burbs) is way more Dem than Rep.

Speak of what you know, not what you hope.

I just hope we can vote her out. She has done nothing for the area but show up and smile...
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Old 10-09-2010, 01:28 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,187 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5303
Quote:
Originally Posted by BuffaloTransplant View Post
No, it isn't. WGRZ is in a very Democratic county (Erie County). I live here. Chances of calling likely voters and getting all Reuplicans in the sample are almost nil. The County ( city and burbs) is way more Dem than Rep.

Speak of what you know, not what you hope.

I just hope we can vote her out. She has done nothing for the area but show up and smile...
1. They polled the entire state, not just Erie.

2. WGRZ did not conduct the poll, they reported on it. The poll was commissioned by two Newspapers, one in Rochester, one in White Plains and was conducted by Survey USA.

3. As far as my uber uber GOP sample. The poll had 9% more Democrats than Republicans. In NY the Democrats have a 25 point registration advantage. The gap on Election Day will be closer than the 25 point registration gap, but it sure as hell isn't going to be anywhere close to just 9.

4. The same pollster (Survey USA) just released a new poll on this race. It shows Gillibrand up by 19.

5. In fact ever since the one poll that showed the race a dead heat, six polls have come out. All six show Gillibrand up by double digits. The last three polls have her up by 19, 21 and 14.
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