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435 members of the House with 3 non-voting delegates.
There are 255 Democrats
There are 178 Republicans
2 vacant seats
The house will gain at least 78 Republican seats
There will be a minimum of 256 Republicans voting in the house.
With the last Census, Many Progressive States are going to loose a Rep, with Ohio loosing 2. The Conservative States are picking up those seats!!
At a minimum they will pick up 9 seats in the senate.
I highly doubt it. I'm guessing around 45-60 in the House and 3-4 in the Senate. My prediction is that the Dems will narrowly lose the house majority but keep the Senate majority.
Last edited by j33; 10-05-2010 at 08:40 PM..
Reason: upon further consideration, revised my numbers upward.
The Republicans will win 50 to 75 House seats and about 4 Senate seats.
I don't think they pick up that many seats. Using 94 as a comparison. The GOP picked up 54 seats that year. Obama's #'s are a couple points higher than Clinton was at that point, the GOP's #'s are also worse now than they were back then. Also heading into that election the Democrats held more GOP leaning seats than they do now.
I don't think they pick up that many seats. Using 94 as a comparison. The GOP picked up 54 seats that year. Obama's #'s are a couple points higher than Clinton was at that point, the GOP's #'s are also worse now than they were back then. Also heading into that election the Democrats held more GOP leaning seats than they do now.
Smash, there is a little difference in this year versus 94. I have no idea how many the Republicans will pick up but in 94 Clinton was down, but the overall congress wasn't rated as low and there just wasn't the interest nor the anti incumbant opinions we are seeing today. It is so very different.
Smash, there is a little difference in this year versus 94. I have no idea how many the Republicans will pick up but in 94 Clinton was down, but the overall congress wasn't rated as low and there just wasn't the interest nor the anti incumbant opinions we are seeing today. It is so very different.
Nita
The overall Congress is rated lower now, but so are the Republicans. In fact the difference with the GOP is even larger. You also had the banking scandal going on in 94 which brought down several Democrats. Aside from that, the bigger thing I think is the type of seats the Democrats were holding heading into that election compared to now. The Democrats simply held more GOP leaning districts back then.
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I dunno, Utah has been trending democratic lately 
