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I'd say my Democratic Representative has a 95% or more chance of being re-elected. His seat is the only Virginia one in play that I can vote on (no Senate seats this year), and although I'm excited to cast my vote for him, it's not as if I'm playing a decisive role. He's a shoe-in.
Northern Virginia is full of feds who vote their paycheck. It's that simple. It's the reason why Obama is growing the federal government, too. It's a reliable Democrat vote.
According to this David Scott has a 100% chance of winning re election over the Republicans in a mixed district that was once Republican in a year when the Democrats are expected to take a bloodbath and lose between 50 and 100 seats in the Congress.
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but it's not something to brag about. 
