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Old 07-15-2011, 01:14 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,801 posts, read 41,003,240 times
Reputation: 62194

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"Registered voters by a significant margin now say they are more likely to vote for the "Republican Party's candidate for president" than for President Barack Obama in the 2012 election, 47% to 39%. Preferences had been fairly evenly divided this year in this test of Obama's re-election prospects...Independent registered voters are currently more likely to vote for the Republican candidate (44%) than for Obama (34%), though one in five do not have an opinion."

Good to see that Gallup is finally polling registered voters and not just any adult who picks up the phone when they call. The sampling error is +/- 4%.
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Old 07-15-2011, 01:46 AM
 
3,335 posts, read 2,659,647 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
"Registered voters by a significant margin now say they are more likely to vote for the "Republican Party's candidate for president" than for President Barack Obama in the 2012 election, 47% to 39%. Preferences had been fairly evenly divided this year in this test of Obama's re-election prospects...Independent registered voters are currently more likely to vote for the Republican candidate (44%) than for Obama (34%), though one in five do not have an opinion."

Good to see that Gallup is finally polling registered voters and not just any adult who picks up the phone when they call. The sampling error is +/- 4%.
You're working late, LauraC. You get overtime ...I assume?
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Old 07-15-2011, 08:06 AM
 
Location: Mississauga ON
86 posts, read 400,905 times
Reputation: 64
Absolutely wonderful news. Let's hope these numbers hold until November of next year.
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Old 07-15-2011, 08:09 AM
 
Location: Florida
11,669 posts, read 17,944,080 times
Reputation: 8239
It's way, way too early to tell. Besides, Gallup is just ONE of many other polls out there. I go by RealClearPolitics, which says that Obama is going to win by 0.8%. It's an average of ALL of the polls available on this topic at this time.
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Old 07-15-2011, 09:49 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,711,350 times
Reputation: 49248
Quote:
Originally Posted by nep321 View Post
It's way, way too early to tell. Besides, Gallup is just ONE of many other polls out there. I go by RealClearPolitics, which says that Obama is going to win by 0.8%. It's an average of ALL of the polls available on this topic at this time.
If it is way too early why are you paying attention to RealChearPolitis? Aren't you talking out of both sides of your mouth and do you mean 8% or 0.8? If you mean 0,8 I would hate to be on the Obama side right now. If with less than 16 months to go and the incumbant is ahead by less that 1% things look bad.

Nita
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Old 07-15-2011, 11:04 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,801 posts, read 41,003,240 times
Reputation: 62194
Quote:
Originally Posted by nep321 View Post
It's way, way too early to tell. Besides, Gallup is just ONE of many other polls out there. I go by RealClearPolitics, which says that Obama is going to win by 0.8%. It's an average of ALL of the polls available on this topic at this time.
Averaging polls who use different methodology to arrive at their numbers and poll during different periods of a month or months is ludicrous. I know Real Clear Politics has been doing this for years but it's assinine.
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Old 07-15-2011, 11:49 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,457,116 times
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Any Republican does lead Obama in the polls, but actual names Republicans trail in every poll.
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Old 07-15-2011, 01:01 PM
 
10,875 posts, read 13,809,014 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Any Republican does lead Obama in the polls, but actual names Republicans trail in every poll.
Exactly. Obama vs. "republican" would mean they are dreaming of some super candidate to come out of the woodwork. Now when a name is put next to that (R) Obama's percentage skyrockets.

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates
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Old 07-15-2011, 02:52 PM
 
Location: Cedar Hill "The Chill", Texas
277 posts, read 577,308 times
Reputation: 192
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Any Republican does lead Obama in the polls, but actual names Republicans trail in every poll.
Not only that, but national polls are useless. Start showing me polls where a Republican is flipping a blue state.
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Old 07-15-2011, 03:11 PM
 
Location: #
9,598 posts, read 16,563,825 times
Reputation: 6324
Let me see here. Obama is losing to an unnamed person and the Bachmann is still being considered as a serious Republican candidate.

Tell me again, which side should be worried?
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