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Congressman Ron Paul may be a long shot to win the Republican presidential nomination, but he runs competitively with President Obama right now.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Paul picking up 37% of the vote, while the president earns 41%. The Texas congressman joins Mitt Romney, Michelle Bachmann, and Rick Perry as candidates within hailing distance of the president at this time.
Rudy Giuliani is another potential candidate who is considered a long shot for the nomination but is competitive with the president. The former mayor of New York City trails Obama by five, 44% to 39%.
But the real story in the numbers is that the president continues to earn between 41% and 49% of the vote no matter which Republican is mentioned as a potential opponent. This suggests that the race remains a referendum on the incumbent more than anything else.
Obama posts a 12-point lead over former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, 44% to 32%.
Two Republicans can’t even get to 30% against the president. Businessman Herman Cain and former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, who served as Obama's ambassador to China, each earn 28% support. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, considered unlikely to run by most observers, trail the president by seven and nine points respectively. Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum trails by 14.
Bachmann +61% (beats Obama by 61%)
Romney +59%
Palin +52%
Perry +50%
Santorum +48%
Christie +46%
Ron Paul +45%
Pawlenty +40%
Giuliani +39%
Newt +37%
Huntsman +32%
Cain +30%
But he's an unelectable extremist!
Paul would need to shore up conservatives and Republicans in the general. He'd probably have to pick a Southern conservative (Governor Haley, possibly) to do so.
What I find most interesting though is that he actually BEATS Obama with the under 30 crowd. Other than Romney, none of the other GOP contenders even come close. I really had to LOL at Palin and Santorum's numbers.
If this doesn't illuminate the way of the future for the GOP, I don't know what does.
I keep saying in this forum, if the GOP wants to remain relevant, they will have to start going Libertarian because Libertarianism is peeling away young voter support for failed Democrat policies and rhetoric
Paul would need to shore up conservatives and Republicans in the general. He'd probably have to pick a Southern conservative (Governor Haley, possibly) to do so.
What I find most interesting though is that he actually BEATS Obama with the under 30 crowd. Other than Romney, none of the other GOP contenders even come close. I really had to LOL at Palin and Santorum's numbers.
If this doesn't illuminate the way of the future for the GOP, I don't know what does.
Man, conservatives are crazy. I mean Romney kind of makes sense but Bachmann in first place? Palin in third? But the black guy is last, that does make sense. What a telling poll. Nuts.
Maybe because he's in last place (or second last) with EVERY group. He's just simply not a good candidate.
I agree too. But you know how liberals are, making fallacious arguments about conservatives. Cain is not a good candidate, period. He's just another Donald Trump
Young voters will want the most radical guy out there to fight the status quo and to make a statement that they want change. Obama represents the establishment as much as Bush or McCain did. Obama's one time supporters will just stay home and not vote.
Paul would need to shore up conservatives and Republicans in the general. He'd probably have to pick a Southern conservative (Governor Haley, possibly) to do so.
What I find most interesting though is that he actually BEATS Obama with the under 30 crowd. Other than Romney, none of the other GOP contenders even come close. I really had to LOL at Palin and Santorum's numbers.
If this doesn't illuminate the way of the future for the GOP, I don't know what does.
Perry, who isn't in the race doesn't come close? Or are you talking about the under 30 vote, none come close?
Nita
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