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Old 07-23-2011, 11:24 PM
 
1,080 posts, read 1,929,613 times
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Quote:
Friday, July 22

Congressman Ron Paul may be a long shot to win the Republican presidential nomination, but he runs competitively with President Obama right now.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Paul picking up 37% of the vote, while the president earns 41%. The Texas congressman joins Mitt Romney, Michelle Bachmann, and Rick Perry as candidates within hailing distance of the president at this time.

Rudy Giuliani is another potential candidate who is considered a long shot for the nomination but is competitive with the president. The former mayor of New York City trails Obama by five, 44% to 39%.

But the real story in the numbers is that the president continues to earn between 41% and 49% of the vote no matter which Republican is mentioned as a potential opponent. This suggests that the race remains a referendum on the incumbent more than anything else.

Obama posts a 12-point lead over former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, 44% to 32%.

Two Republicans can’t even get to 30% against the president. Businessman Herman Cain and former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, who served as Obama's ambassador to China, each earn 28% support. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, considered unlikely to run by most observers, trail the president by seven and nine points respectively. Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum trails by 14.
Obama 41%, Ron Paul 37% - Rasmussen Reports™

Rasmussen's Other Polls To-date for reference:

Quote:
Obama 42%
Romney 43%
July 14-15, 2011

Obama 44%
Christie 37%
July 5, 2011

Obama 44%
Perry 39%
July 6-7, 2011

Obama 46%
Bachmann 39%
July 8-9, 2011

Obama 48%
Gingrich 30%
June 24-25, 2011

Obama 41%
Paul 37%
June 26-27, 2011

Obama 44%
Pawlenty 32%
June 28-29, 2011

Obama 49%
Cain 28%
June 30-July 1, 2011

Obama 44%
Huntsman 28%
July 2, 2011

Obama 45%
Santorum 31%
July 10-11, 2011

Obama 44%
Guliani 39%
July 12-13, 2011

Obama 47%
Palin 38%
July 16-17, 2011
Some interesting crosstabs:

Quote:
Among Independents

Ron Paul +10% (leads Obama 42%-32%)
Romney +8% (leads 42%-34%)
Palin +2%

Giuliani -4%
Perry -6%
Bachmann -8%
Pawlenty -10%
Christie -10%
Santorum -13%
Newt -22%
Huntsman -22%
Cain -26%

Under 30

Ron Paul +6% (leads 38%-32%)

Romney -5% (trails 39%-44%)
Giuliani -12%
Bachmann -19%
Huntsman -28%
Perry -31%
Pawlenty -33%
Newt -38%
Christie -40%
Palin -43%
Cain -45%
Santorum -46%

Men

Ron Paul +7% (leads 43%-36%)
Romney +7% (leads 43%-39%)
Bachmann +7% (leads 46%-39%)
Palin +6%

Perry even

Giuliani -2%
Christie -4%
Newt -6%
Huntsman -7%
Santorum -9%
Pawlenty -15%
Cain -25%

Republicans

Romney +71% (leads 78%-7%)
Christie +62% (leads 69%-7%)
Giuliani +62% (leads 72%-10%)
Bachmann +61% (leads 72%-11%)
Perry +60% (leads 69%-9%)
Pawlenty +55% (leads 64%-9%)
Ron Paul +49% (leads 59%-10%)
Palin +49% (leads 65%-14%)
Santorum +48%
Huntsman +47%
Newt +42%
Cain +39%

Conservatives

Bachmann +61% (beats Obama by 61%)
Romney +59%
Palin +52%
Perry +50%
Santorum +48%
Christie +46%
Ron Paul +45%
Pawlenty +40%
Giuliani +39%
Newt +37%
Huntsman +32%
Cain +30%
But he's an unelectable extremist!

Paul would need to shore up conservatives and Republicans in the general. He'd probably have to pick a Southern conservative (Governor Haley, possibly) to do so.

What I find most interesting though is that he actually BEATS Obama with the under 30 crowd. Other than Romney, none of the other GOP contenders even come close. I really had to LOL at Palin and Santorum's numbers.

If this doesn't illuminate the way of the future for the GOP, I don't know what does.
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Old 07-23-2011, 11:29 PM
 
25,060 posts, read 22,106,910 times
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I keep saying in this forum, if the GOP wants to remain relevant, they will have to start going Libertarian because Libertarianism is peeling away young voter support for failed Democrat policies and rhetoric
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Old 07-24-2011, 12:31 AM
 
1,080 posts, read 1,929,613 times
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Exactly.
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Old 07-24-2011, 12:36 AM
 
Location: Austin
4,095 posts, read 7,199,555 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MN55 View Post
Obama 41%, Ron Paul 37% - Rasmussen Reports™

Rasmussen's Other Polls To-date for reference:

Some interesting crosstabs:

But he's an unelectable extremist!

Paul would need to shore up conservatives and Republicans in the general. He'd probably have to pick a Southern conservative (Governor Haley, possibly) to do so.

What I find most interesting though is that he actually BEATS Obama with the under 30 crowd. Other than Romney, none of the other GOP contenders even come close. I really had to LOL at Palin and Santorum's numbers.

If this doesn't illuminate the way of the future for the GOP, I don't know what does.
Man, conservatives are crazy. I mean Romney kind of makes sense but Bachmann in first place? Palin in third? But the black guy is last, that does make sense. What a telling poll. Nuts.
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Old 07-24-2011, 12:40 AM
 
1,080 posts, read 1,929,613 times
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Quote:
But the black guy is last, that does make sense. What a telling poll.
Maybe because he's in last place (or second last) with EVERY group. He's just simply not a good candidate.
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Old 07-24-2011, 12:46 AM
 
25,060 posts, read 22,106,910 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MN55 View Post
Maybe because he's in last place (or second last) with EVERY group. He's just simply not a good candidate.
I agree too. But you know how liberals are, making fallacious arguments about conservatives. Cain is not a good candidate, period. He's just another Donald Trump
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Old 07-24-2011, 02:48 AM
 
33,046 posts, read 20,714,185 times
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Obama has done more to advance Ron Paul's candidacy than Ron Paul.
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Old 07-24-2011, 05:48 AM
 
Location: The Republic of Texas
60,085 posts, read 30,599,526 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freemkt View Post
Obama has done more to advance Ron Paul's candidacy than Ron Paul.



No sheet!



It is like free campaigning for Ron Paul.
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Old 07-24-2011, 06:45 AM
 
18,107 posts, read 16,448,492 times
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Young voters will want the most radical guy out there to fight the status quo and to make a statement that they want change. Obama represents the establishment as much as Bush or McCain did. Obama's one time supporters will just stay home and not vote.
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Old 07-24-2011, 06:56 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
69,278 posts, read 79,447,244 times
Reputation: 38641
Quote:
Originally Posted by MN55 View Post
Obama 41%, Ron Paul 37% - Rasmussen Reports™

Rasmussen's Other Polls To-date for reference:

Some interesting crosstabs:

But he's an unelectable extremist!

Paul would need to shore up conservatives and Republicans in the general. He'd probably have to pick a Southern conservative (Governor Haley, possibly) to do so.

What I find most interesting though is that he actually BEATS Obama with the under 30 crowd. Other than Romney, none of the other GOP contenders even come close. I really had to LOL at Palin and Santorum's numbers.

If this doesn't illuminate the way of the future for the GOP, I don't know what does.
Perry, who isn't in the race doesn't come close? Or are you talking about the under 30 vote, none come close?

Nita
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