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This is insane. This district is 60% democratic and Weprin might lose because he's (well he's a horrible candidate too, there's no question) a pawn of Ed Koch's in some sort of power game with Obama? And who will this district put in his place? A crazy, Paul Ryan Republican?
According to a twitter post from PPP Poling...
Quote:
My pretty straight forward take on the first night of our NY-9 poll: Dems in BIG trouble. It deserves the caps.
We will see what happens. Obama's speech didn't help, that's for sure.
This is a heavily Jewish district and Israel is a major issue with the electorate there. So however this turns out this can't bode well for Obama with Jewish voters and donors.
This is a heavily Jewish district and Israel is a major issue with the electorate there. So however this turns out this can't bode well for Obama with Jewish voters and donors.
On a side note the Daily Kos is hilarious.
One thing to keep in mind is the Jewish vote within the district itself is quite diverse. You have Orthodox spread out the district, but heavily concentrated in the Brooklyn portion of the district and are quite conservative. In fact Obama lost big time with the Orthodox vote in the district in 2008, but still won about 80% of the Jewish vote. So struggling with the Jewish vote in the district, especially the Brooklyn portion won't say much about the overall Jewish vote. Now if Werpin does quite a bit worse in Forest Hills than Obama did in 08 then you might be on to something.
Keep in mind though, despite having Weiner in the district, this isn't that liberal of a district. It has some liberal areas (such as Forest Hills), but the Orthodox areas are very conservative, Howard Beach in Queens is quite conservative. Obama, only won the district by 4 points more than he won nationally.
Progressives with their panties in a wad.
What's new.
They are wound up so tight, they spin for months.
More than likely, this seat will stay Progressive, either way.
The Republican, can't be that Conservative in that area of the Nation.
Most likely a RINO.
you could've said the same thing about the dem who won a house seat in the ny district that went republican the last 50 or so year, or the dems who won in the recall wisconsin races.
it means nothing either way, and is not indicative of any trend.
but im not partisan, so i dont have to sell the argument.
The democrat running for the Weiner seat doesn't even live in the district.
Just like the democrat that represented West Palm Beach Fl that used his mothers address but actually lived in Maryland.
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