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Old 11-07-2011, 11:54 AM
 
Location: NJ
18,677 posts, read 17,075,025 times
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Obama looks at close Electoral College
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Old 11-07-2011, 12:16 PM
 
400 posts, read 234,327 times
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A tie would be interesting. 269-269 in the College.

It would be a political fiasco, and not something I wish would ever happen!

But it would be interesting...
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Old 11-07-2011, 12:21 PM
 
25,630 posts, read 30,448,242 times
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Bring it. 364 days and counting.
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Old 11-07-2011, 01:54 PM
 
23,851 posts, read 19,861,252 times
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Once the GOP solidifies around one candidate, Obama is toast.
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Old 11-07-2011, 01:58 PM
 
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The common wisdom for a while has been that it'll come down to fundraising and organization. The census reapportionment only gave Republicans a net +6 in the EC compared to 2008 but the latest round of gerrymandering as far as state legislatures go will essentially be a wash. Still Romney has to pull in two out of FL, PA, and OH to win assuming he (most likely) wins the fluke states of VA, NC, IN, NV, and even NH for good measure.
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Old 11-07-2011, 02:00 PM
 
10,783 posts, read 11,853,566 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AeroGuyDC View Post
Once the GOP solidifies around one candidate, Obama is toast.
Won't happen. The GOP doesn't have a chance in hell of taking back the white house. Obama has been leading every candidate since day one.
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Old 11-07-2011, 02:05 PM
 
4,406 posts, read 5,469,346 times
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One year before the election and we're discussing strategy. I hate this crap. The only thing the candidates--whoever they are--should be doing is trying to win votes. The Electoral College pits states against each other and even allows situations where states are routinely ignored since they don't matter in the final count. I think it's sickening.

July 4 of the election year should be the day the candidates announce their intentions.
Each party's adherents should pay for the elections that lead to its chosen candidate, not the people of each state.
All announced candidates (one per party and then all the independents) are on all ballots, no exclusions.

This two-year long discussion and debate is exhausting and it's getting longer and longer with each election cycle. Why? Because somebody is making money by lengthening the process. Kind of like how defense contractors make more money if the war lasts longer or continues indefinitely. We are so screwed as a nation and we do NOTHING about it. Maybe we deserve corrupt candidates and stolen elections.
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Old 11-07-2011, 02:47 PM
 
32,474 posts, read 26,356,312 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TempesT68 View Post
Won't happen. The GOP doesn't have a chance in hell of taking back the white house. Obama has been leading every candidate since day one.
dont count the electoral votes until they are cast. you may be disappointed at the outcome.
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Old 11-07-2011, 04:21 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,677 posts, read 17,075,025 times
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LOL! Aeroguy, if Romney is nominated, Obama has a true, tossup battle. TP, forget about it, Obam beats them with ease. Of the 39 solid states, more than 90% have been with one party for decades now. that will not change, it can be tweaked by a GOP mainstream duo, and only by that combo. If TP infestation is present on the ballot, it will move in Obama's favor. Pest control for the TP s/b GOP mantra.
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Old 11-07-2011, 04:53 PM
 
Location: NC
10,005 posts, read 9,022,835 times
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Some of those toss up states I have to question. The two glaring examples are Michigan and New Mexico. In the most recent Michigan poll no republican comes within 10 points of Obama and I have not seen a New Mexico poll that shows it with anything but a large Obama lead.
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