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the major reason why romney is running away with florida is because he has spent tons in attack ads on gingrich, similar to florida.
in the general election romney will be in newt gingrich shoe's, and obama will be in romneys shoes. romney isnt going to have the money and obama is going to pound him with ad after ad.
the counter from the right is oh his failed policies will do him in. romney and gingrich also have a number of negatives about themselves, so that evens out.
in the end it comes down to money, which is why obama i thinkk would still probably win vs. romney.