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Bottom line--54-28 is undeniably a commanding lead. But we probably can't say he's a lock until after super tuesday, when 419 delegates will be decided. If Romney does get about 200 or more of those, I would think there will be a lot of pressure on Gingrich and/or Santorum to drop out.
54%-28 is pretty insurmountable however, bear in mind Romney must get 50%+ of the delegates to stave off a brokered convention. Third place finishes in GA, OK and TN could be devastating for his chances to keep 50% of delegates coming out of Super Tuesday.
Quote:
Originally Posted by godofthunder9010
Washington - 43 electoral votes - Only polling data is a week and a half old and had Santorum leading, but Santorum was leading in Michigan by 10% at that same point in time so ... Whoever wins Washington will add a bit of momentum to the Super Tuesday run.
The difference with Washington is that Romney doesn't have a lot of time. Romney has constantly gotten the advantage by outspending his opponents and running endless negative ads over a period of a week or more. He may not have the time or depth to do this in both Washington and in Super Tuesday states.
Romney won by approx 33,000 votes. He had more people voting for him than in 2008. More voters turned out than in 2008. He won Catholics, republicans and Conservatives.
9% of the voters were dems, about 50% voted for Santorum.
So....add another 43,000 to Romney's total.
Oh, Romney won the suburbs/areas around Detroit too.
I'm sorry if you didn't know ahead of time that the delegates would be split. You see, each state does things a little bit different than the others.
That is actually not correct. In 2008, Romney got 338,316 votes. In 2012, he got 409,899 votes. Voter turnout was also heavier this time around. In 2008, 736,063 voters voted. In 2012, 974,783 voters turned out. It was record numbers.
I am not sure where this incorrect voter data is coming from, but I have seen it posted several times now.
The last poll in AL had him down 30pts it was a while ago but it was Gingrich 41 Romney 14.
No way, just about two weeks ago Romney was leading there because it seemed odd. This poll was taken just 5 days ago and it has Gingrich, Santorum and Romney basically in a dead heat there:
Quote:
The poll surveyed 470 likely voters. The results show Rick Santorum was only 6-tenths of a point behind Gingrich. Mitt romney was only a few points behind.
18.9% of those polled supported Newt Gingrich.
18.3% supported Rick Santorum.
15.2% supported Mitt Romney.
No way, just about two weeks ago Romney was leading there because it seemed odd. This poll was taken just 5 days ago and it has Gingrich, Santorum and Romney basically in a dead heat there:
That is actually not correct. In 2008, Romney got 338,316 votes. In 2012, he got 409,899 votes. Voter turnout was also heavier this time around. In 2008, 736,063 voters voted. In 2012, 974,783 voters turned out. It was record numbers.
Yeah, record numbers. Like the 1.25 million who voted in 2000.
You actually believe that comes out of Willard's mouth? I sure don't. He is a professional politician which equals him to a liar. Paul won't sell out to get some crappy position like fed chairman. I hope he runs independent.
Fed chairman may be the most powerful man in the world.
No way, just about two weeks ago Romney was leading there because it seemed odd. This poll was taken just 5 days ago and it has Gingrich, Santorum and Romney basically in a dead heat there:
Thanks, I had not seen that. With that said I would be very skeptical of that poll's probative value. While it doesn't surprise me that Romney is in third the fact that only 52.4% of people identified a candidate makes me question it.
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