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Old 03-04-2012, 11:08 AM
 
2,787 posts, read 3,663,952 times
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If the polls around halloween show Obama leading by double digits i'll be worried.....polls almost 8 months before an election mean nothing,heck lately polls 8 DAYS before an election don't mean much.
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Old 03-04-2012, 11:41 AM
 
Location: Rhode Island
308 posts, read 450,870 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by imbobbbb View Post
If the polls around halloween show Obama leading by double digits i'll be worried.....polls almost 8 months before an election mean nothing,heck lately polls 8 DAYS before an election don't mean much.
while this is true, there seems to be nothing in swing states that will turn the polls in the other direction. This year the results in the primaries are changing the polls. Unless the debates are so one sided I do not see much of change in those numbers.
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Old 03-04-2012, 12:47 PM
 
Location: Greater Washington, DC
1,347 posts, read 921,652 times
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This isn't at all consistent with other polls. Obama does tend to lead in most of them in VA, but with nowhere near those kind of margins. I'm not buying it.

Furthermore, and even as a Romney supporter I can admit this, this poll says that a greater percentage of Romney's supporters "strongly support" him than do Ron Paul's supporters. Contrary to popular opinion, there are many strong Romney supporters. But there's no way that's true

This poll has very little merit in my opinion
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Old 03-04-2012, 01:01 PM
 
8,758 posts, read 8,849,950 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tmsterp View Post
This isn't at all consistent with other polls. Obama does tend to lead in most of them in VA, but with nowhere near those kind of margins. I'm not buying it.

Furthermore, and even as a Romney supporter I can admit this, this poll says that a greater percentage of Romney's supporters "strongly support" him than do Ron Paul's supporters. Contrary to popular opinion, there are many strong Romney supporters. But there's no way that's true

This poll has very little merit in my opinion

Actually, there have been several polls lately that show Romney with the strongest base of support...even moreso than Ron Paul. CNN's exit polling in Michigan and Arizona showed Romney's with the largest percentage of those that 'strongly support'. It was like 55% in Michigan. It suprised me too.
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Old 03-04-2012, 03:04 PM
 
Location: Greater Washington, DC
1,347 posts, read 921,652 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dixiegirl7 View Post
Actually, there have been several polls lately that show Romney with the strongest base of support...even moreso than Ron Paul. CNN's exit polling in Michigan and Arizona showed Romney's with the largest percentage of those that 'strongly support'. It was like 55% in Michigan. It suprised me too.
Wow, well hey I'm glad I can take back that earlier comment then.
You know, if you don't like Romney, that's fine. I'm glad we can have dissenting political views in this country. But I'm tired of people propagating this myth that nobody actually likes Mitt Romney. I know lots of people that do, and do enthusiastically. They're average everyday people who aren't extremists. Like most normal people, they're not overtly political, they're not culture crusaders, and they're frustrated with government but not looking for a radical change in the America they know and love.
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Old 03-04-2012, 03:04 PM
 
Location: MW
1,433 posts, read 993,711 times
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Is there a reason you are so obsessed with Mitt Romney? It seems there never goes a day where you don't bring his name up about something.

And "GOP clowns"? This isn't elementary school. It scares me people with this level of maturity can vote.
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Old 03-04-2012, 03:13 PM
 
2,787 posts, read 3,663,952 times
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Originally Posted by dgthree View Post
while this is true, there seems to be nothing in swing states that will turn the polls in the other direction. This year the results in the primaries are changing the polls. Unless the debates are so one sided I do not see much of change in those numbers.
Seven or eight months in an election year is a long time.There is no way of knowing if something will change the polls in that time period.The economy could improve enough to widen Obamas lead or sink back enough to cost him 10 or 15 points.Gas prices could hit $5 a gallon and cost him or they could recede to $3 and help him.Presidents get credit and blame for many things they have little to no control over.Events here or abroad can sometimes change things quickly.The first president Bush went from approval ratings in the 80s to the 30s in less than a year...its way too early to get too excited about polls regarding an event in November.If enough Obama supporters think hes a shoo in they may stay home and enough republicans may show up even though their candidate doesn't excite them because voting against Obama does.....
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Old 03-04-2012, 03:19 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,969 posts, read 14,189,805 times
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Check out this recent Virginia poll. Romney leads Obama in this one:

http://roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/...cs.Feb2012.pdf

Look at the RCP average - this NBC News/Marist poll is an outlier (a rather extreme outlier...and NBC News/Marist polls frequently seem to be).

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1774.html

As far as the Virginia Senate election...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...aine-1833.html

As far as Ohio...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...bama-1860.html

Can anyone honestly try and argue that these NBC News/Marist polls are not outliers?
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Old 03-04-2012, 03:21 PM
 
Location: Midwest
1,005 posts, read 2,445,903 times
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Typically candidates that currently or recently had momentum polls show them to match up better against the president. Gingrich numbers have been climbing back up in recent Gallup polls, but with all the recent attention towards Romney and Santorum, each of them should be more concern with their low polling.
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Old 03-04-2012, 03:26 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,969 posts, read 14,189,805 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shpanda View Post
Is there a reason you are so obsessed with Mitt Romney? It seems there never goes a day where you don't bring his name up about something.
Not only that but he lies about Romney every chance he gets.

I am not an Obama supporter or a Newt supporter or a Santorum supporter, but I would never lie about them or call them immature nicknames.

Quote:
Originally Posted by shpanda View Post
And "GOP clowns"? This isn't elementary school. It scares me people with this level of maturity can vote.
He is pathetic.
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