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Old 03-06-2012, 09:23 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,859,702 times
Reputation: 7118

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Quote:
Originally Posted by dr1204 View Post
What makes you think an even weaker candidate then McCain in Romney can flip enough states to have a chance vs. an incumbent who will be outspending him 2,3 sometimes 4 to 1? An incumbent by the way that is personally liked by a majority and has near a 50 percent approval?
A whole lot of conservatives stayed home in 2008 and about 25% of them VOTED FOR OBAMA. That won't happen again.

Obama will NOT be outspending the GOP this time around. In fact, his numbers are WELL BELOW 2008 fund raising. He has already told congressional democrats they will be getting NO money from him or the DNC.
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:25 AM
 
Location: South Carolina
8,145 posts, read 6,516,771 times
Reputation: 1754
Obama approval rating continuing to rise, according to new poll
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:26 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,563,268 times
Reputation: 1680
Lightbulb hmm...

Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
A whole lot of conservatives stayed home in 2008 and about 25% of them VOTED FOR OBAMA. That won't happen again.

Obama will NOT be outspending the GOP this time around. In fact, his numbers are WELL BELOW 2008 fund raising. He has already told congressional democrats they will be getting NO money from him or the DNC.
Think again. Radical Conservatives won't be voting for the President.

Quote:
About three-in-ten (29%) Americans say as they learn more about the field their impression of the Republican candidates has gotten worse
Source

A whole slew of folks won't be voting for the GOP.
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Old 03-06-2012, 09:46 AM
 
Location: Reality
9,949 posts, read 8,834,379 times
Reputation: 3315
Quote:
Originally Posted by enemy country View Post
Red Black and Blue? What kind of trash do you read?
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:07 AM
 
Location: South Carolina
8,145 posts, read 6,516,771 times
Reputation: 1754
Quote:
Originally Posted by Backspace View Post
Red Black and Blue? What kind of trash do you read?
Obama rising
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Old 03-06-2012, 10:37 AM
 
Location: Chicago Area
12,687 posts, read 6,705,217 times
Reputation: 6593
Whole thing comes down to Ohio and Florida. Since both are among the hardest hit by the economic mess, those are states that the GOP can definitely win. Win both and they win the election. Split Ohio and Florida between the parties and it comes down to New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada.

Looks like a close election in the making and it'll be interesting to see how it plays out.

This year, it won't be "the in thing" to support Obama and Obama has a record to defend this time. That takes him down a notch but it's still guaranteed to be close.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:12 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,563,268 times
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Lightbulb hmm...

Most of these assessments are demographically challenged. What impetus is there to swing the vote away from the President in districts he won in Florida and Ohio?

How is the GOP candidate polling in these Districts...How is the GOP candidate performing among women and Latino voters?

Quote:
According to the latest national Fox News Latino survey, none of the Republican contenders for the presidential nomination poll above 14 percent in a head-to-head matchup against Obama. That's a 17 point drop in support from John McCain's 2008 share of the Hispanic vote — with McCain garnering 31 percent of that group four years ago.

Obama has a six-to-one advantage among Hispanics, leading Mitt Romney 70 percent to 14 percent among likely Latino voters. Obama also beats Newt Gingrich 72 to 14 percent. And Obama is also drawing a significant well of his Hispanic support from former John McCain voters. According to the poll, 40 percent of John McCain voters are now supporting Obama over Gingrich or Romney, while 38 percent are supporting Obama over Rick Santorum.

Obama's approval rating among Hispanics stands at 73 percent — with 66 percent approving of his handling of the economy.
Source - Obama leads handily among Latinos - POLITICO.com

Not doing as well as you thought? Interesting.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:15 AM
 
1,692 posts, read 1,954,709 times
Reputation: 1190
Quote:
Originally Posted by godofthunder9010 View Post
Whole thing comes down to Ohio and Florida. Since both are among the hardest hit by the economic mess, those are states that the GOP can definitely win. Win both and they win the election. Split Ohio and Florida between the parties and it comes down to New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada.

Looks like a close election in the making and it'll be interesting to see how it plays out.

This year, it won't be "the in thing" to support Obama and Obama has a record to defend this time. That takes him down a notch but it's still guaranteed to be close.
Ohio's not doing too badly, actually. The UE rate is below the national average and polls have Obama with a sizeable lead. FL I will give you.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:20 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,563,268 times
Reputation: 1680
Santorum is proving Romney loses in the Midwest. Gingrich has proven he loses in the South. Ron Paul has proven he loses to the youthful starry-eyed pragmatists...Some of the fractured interests will vote for Romney if he's the nominee, but a large chunk really hate him and what he does or doesn't represent, and won't.
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Old 03-06-2012, 11:40 AM
 
Location: NC
1,672 posts, read 1,766,503 times
Reputation: 524
It all comes down to Ohio and Pennsylvania. It really does. You can throw every other state out for this election. At this time, I don't see Obama losing either.

On top of that, I think Florida might be closer then most people think due to the fact everyone in that state seems to hate Rick Scott.
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