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Hmmmm, being that he just made a big showing, I wonder if some here are simply ignoring reality.
Santorum is too extreme and the GOP knows it - he is done
Newt simply is simply hated by too many for his lack of morals and he is the definition of a Washington insider
Paul is on his third race and has not shown he has any more of a chance than he did in the past two, far too many voters reject his ideas
So who does that leave, Romney, he has lead most of the race, he is the most popular of the bunch, he is the most moderate of the bunch and the GOP leadership backs him.
Take a wild guess who will be the GOP candidate running against Obama in the general election.
Have Fun.
Santorum would be doing quite well if Gingrich wasn't in. He came very close to beating Romney in Ohio - despite not being on the ballot in a few districts where he would have performed quite well.
Santorum likely won't win New York or California in the primary (but Romney won't take them in the general election either)...Ohio is much more likely Republican territory, and Santorum is at least even with Romney there. Even though it's far off, I have a hard time seeing Romney winning Texas if Gingrich or Santorum are still in (although it's similar to NY and California in the gneral election, in that it will go for the Reps like the other will go Dem). Romney and Santorum both have a record of winning Democrat votes in general elections...Gingrich, I'm not so sure about.
I'm looking forward to see how Alambama and Mississppi go. Newt should be the favorite, but what if Santorum wins in one or both? Interesting.
Anyone know if Santorum has ballot problems in any more upcoming states, like he did in Ohio and certainly Virginia?
Correct, Maseman, and quite frankly whomever leads in delegates by the time the primaries end would be the nominee, anyway.
The race is a formality now; Sanatarium has been unable to establish himself except among a cultish, narrow band. He and Newt will split the 3 Southern states, and thanks to proportinal representation, MR's delegate total amongst the 3 will partially offset even those temporary gains for the radical Evangelical cult duo. But beyond the deep South, the map favors Romney. His 13 states won cover a diverse group of states.
Correct, Maseman, and quite frankly whomever leads in delegates by the time the primaries end would be the nominee, anyway.
The race is a formality now; Sanatarium has been unable to establish himself except among a cultish, narrow band. He and Newt will split the 3 Southern states, and thanks to proportinal representation, MR's delegate total amongst the 3 will partially offset even those temporary gains for the radical Evangelical cult duo. But beyond the deep South, the map favors Romney. His 13 states won cover a diverse group of states.
He won 3 states last night and would've won Ohio if he spent more money there. Santorum has established himself. You are being too optimistic, especially with an idiot like Romney who could potentially cost himself the win any time he opens his mouth.
Romney will not get to 1,144 if all 3 of them stay in the race.
Romney will not get to 1,144 if all 3 of them stay in the race.
I must disagree.
The following contests are likely Romney wins and are winner-take-all:
California (172 delegates)
Utah (26 delegates)
New Jersey (50 delegates)
Delaware (17 delegates)
DC (19 delegates)
Maryland (37 delegates)
Puerto Rico (23 delegates)
Total: 344
The following are winner take all if the candidate gets > 50%, which is very probable for Romney:
New York (95 delegates) --> Even if he doesn't get to 50% (which is a low chance IMO), he should win a vast majority of the delegates
Connecticut (28 delegates)
Rhode Island (19 delegates)
Total: 142 delegates
That gives Romney 486 delegates upcoming. With his ~400 delegates right now, that puts Romney at 886 delegates. That leaves him with ~300 delegates to pick up from the many other contests and caucuses remaining. And that doesn't include the large number of RNC 'superdelegates' still unpledged.
dr1204, RS won 3 states, while Romney who came in with a huge lead, won SIX.
The 3 states had common characteristics, and few of the future states share those. The race is just a formality now.
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