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Old 03-12-2012, 12:46 AM
 
8,758 posts, read 8,860,176 times
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Quote:
On Friday, Mitt Romney got off to an awkward start by calling a campaign in the South "an away game." But at a tractor factory north of Birmingham, Ala., he showed he knows how to work the South.


Last week, I wrote a column that showed Barack Obama had jumped into a tie with the Republican nominees in Georgia, polling ahead of where he was in 2008. A lot of that tepid support for the GOP was the result of Romney, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul ignoring the South in general, and Georgia in particular.
So the next day, I got an email from the Romney campaign. "Would you like to attend a Romney speaking event in Birmingham?" Now that's a 2 1/2-hour drive from LaGrange, Ga., but I said yes. A student even volunteered to come along; he had never been to such an event.


Quote:
About half the crowd left after the final applause, figuring he'd be whisked back to Birmingham's Shuttlesworth Airport to depart the state. Instead, he did something I never expected. He worked the crowd, shaking hands, signing autographs, smiling, holding babies.
Now that's what we would expect from a Bill Clinton or a George W. Bush, but not a Mitt Romney. The word on him from Southerners in 2008 was he doesn't like to shake hands or otherwise meet people who aren't in a country club. He showed he was nothing like that, acting more like a Southern politician.
It's still going to be a tight race. Polls show the state is going down to the wire. Capital Survey Research shows him up a few points, and Alabama State University has him trailing Santorum by a few. Rasmussen Reports has Gingrich winning by a nose.

But if Romney can win in this state seen as the second-most conservative one behind Mississippi, it would demonstrate he could beat Santorum in the epicenter of social conservatism. Other Republicans would demand the remaining candidates concede the race. It would be the knockout blow Romney sought but didn't get on Super Tuesday. And he made the best possible case for the Alabama vote in that tractor factory, possibly overcoming his earlier actions and words.

Mitt Romney Could Seal the Deal in Alabama - Yahoo! News
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Old 03-12-2012, 03:51 AM
 
16,753 posts, read 9,103,803 times
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I agree.

If Romney wins Alabama and Mississippi it is really over. That won't be easy, but if Romney does it, it is over. The republican money will flow to Romney and not Santorum. The pressure to concede on Santorum will be great. Newt will be a non-figure and Paul's crowd will scream that they are in 3rd place now if Santorum gets out. But, the race will be over.
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Old 03-12-2012, 07:05 AM
 
Location: Tampa Florida
22,241 posts, read 15,302,904 times
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Yep, depends on who is going to win the Grits Battle.
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Old 03-12-2012, 07:57 AM
 
Location: Norman, OK
3,479 posts, read 6,345,246 times
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Gingrich winning by 1 point will not mean anything - Romney could still end up with more delegates depending on how the votes turn out. But if Romney wins either or both southern primaries tomorrow, it destroys the Gingrich strategy and really hurts Santorum.
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Old 03-12-2012, 10:40 AM
 
Location: Jacksonville, FL
11,145 posts, read 14,113,945 times
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As long as Santorum loses, I can live with it.
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Old 03-12-2012, 10:49 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,161 posts, read 1,663,527 times
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Where the idea that President Obama is a Muslim is almost twice as popular as evolution ...

Quote:
Alabama Republican Primary voters:

Do you think Barack Obama is a Christian or a Muslim, or are you not sure?
Christian: 14
Muslim: 45
Not sure: 41

Do you believe in evolution, or not?
Believe in evolution: 26
Do not: 60
Not sure: 13
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p...nSwing_312.pdf

I'd call winning that reality-challenged subset of the Alabama electorate a dubious prize indeed!
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Old 03-12-2012, 11:02 AM
 
Location: Fargo, ND
1,034 posts, read 1,093,713 times
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This is interesting...

Quote:
Romney up with voters who believe in evolution, Santorum leads with the folks who do not:
https://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/stat...21684509868032

Quote:
Romney leads among voters who think Obama's a Christian, Newt has edge with people who think he's a Muslim:
https://twitter.com/#!/ppppolls/stat...21264588734464
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Old 03-12-2012, 11:06 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,161 posts, read 1,663,527 times
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It's true -- Romney supporters in Alabama think Obama is a Muslim and reject evolution by slightly less embarrassing margins than do Santorum voters ...
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Old 03-12-2012, 11:08 AM
 
1,706 posts, read 830,329 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Where the idea that President Obama is a Muslim is almost twice as popular as evolution ...



http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p...nSwing_312.pdf

I'd call winning that reality-challenged subset of the Alabama electorate a dubious prize indeed!

this is sad..smdh
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Old 03-12-2012, 12:00 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
19,019 posts, read 15,474,890 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wxjay View Post
Gingrich winning by 1 point will not mean anything - Romney could still end up with more delegates depending on how the votes turn out. But if Romney wins either or both southern primaries tomorrow, it destroys the Gingrich strategy and really hurts Santorum.
Looking at the districts, if the winner doesn't get the most delegates it will likely happen to Romney rather than Newt or Santorum. Romney could narrowly win the state with Santorum and Newt winning more districts. In a margin as close as the PPP poll, its entirely possible Mit wins one or two districts and win based off his margins in the 5th and only get a handful of the remaining CD delegates.
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