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Old 04-17-2012, 09:17 PM
 
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Rhode Island could go either way its economy is much worse than Connecticut or Massachusetts and there Democratic Congressman with a 15% approval rating could hurt Obama in November.
MA, CT, ME (it could split), NY, IL, MN, WA, HI and CA will certianally go Democraticc
MS ,AL ,AK ,TX ,AR, KS, NE (could split), OK, GA will go Republican
anyother state seems like a guess
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Old 04-17-2012, 09:34 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
18,783 posts, read 14,900,293 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btownboss4 View Post
Rhode Island could go either way its economy is much worse than Connecticut or Massachusetts and there Democratic Congressman with a 15% approval rating could hurt Obama in November.
MA, CT, ME (it could split), NY, IL, MN, WA, HI and CA will certianally go Democraticc
MS ,AL ,AK ,TX ,AR, KS, NE (could split), OK, GA will go Republican
anyother state seems like a guess
RHODE ISLAND????? WHAT?????????

Also as far as the unpopular Dem Congressman, you are mistaken and confused on that one. Chafee isn't that popular, which is who I think you are talking about. Chafee is the former Republican Senator who is now an Independent and the Governor.
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Old 04-17-2012, 09:34 PM
 
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One state that the Obama campaign is kicking the tires on is Arizona:

Quote:
President Obama's re-election campaign is dispatching workers across Arizona’s college campuses and Latino neighborhoods this spring, registering as many new voters as they can in an organized, three-month effort to determine whether they can put this unlikely state into play for Democrats this November.
Keep in mind that Obama "only" lost Arizona by 9 points in 2008 to McCain, who is from Arizona. Changing demographics and anger at Governor Brewer and the legislature might also help. Again, I think it's a very long shot for the Obama campaign, but if Arizona is a swing state in the fall, then Romney is in serious trouble.
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Old 04-17-2012, 09:41 PM
 
8,676 posts, read 8,846,828 times
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Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
RHODE ISLAND????? WHAT?????????

Also as far as the unpopular Dem Congressman, you are mistaken and confused on that one. Chafee isn't that popular, which is who I think you are talking about. Chafee is the former Republican Senator who is now an Independent and the Governor.
No I'm not, Dem. 1st District, Former Mayor of Providence, Rep. Cicilline.
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Old 04-17-2012, 10:05 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
18,783 posts, read 14,900,293 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btownboss4 View Post
No I'm not, Dem. 1st District, Former Mayor of Providence, Rep. Cicilline.
Just researched it a bit, it wasn't an approve/disapprove poll it was excellent/good/fair/poor, with the largest amount rated Cicilline as fair. Regardless if anything he is more trouble in a Primary than the General. Obama sure as hell isn't losing a state he won by 28.
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Old 04-17-2012, 10:49 PM
 
1,691 posts, read 1,599,866 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bc42gb43 View Post
One state that the Obama campaign is kicking the tires on is Arizona:



Keep in mind that Obama "only" lost Arizona by 9 points in 2008 to McCain, who is from Arizona. Changing demographics and anger at Governor Brewer and the legislature might also help. Again, I think it's a very long shot for the Obama campaign, but if Arizona is a swing state in the fall, then Romney is in serious trouble.
I think that AZ will be fascinating to watch, considering everything that has gone down there over the past 4 years. If BO managed to pull off a win there, it would be a major accomplishment.

Some of the predictions here are laughable - states that Obama won by 10-15+ percent are suddenly going to go for Romney? People, please. You're setting yourself up for disappointment.
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Old 04-18-2012, 01:24 AM
 
3,271 posts, read 2,529,634 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JazzyTallGuy View Post
There are five states that are going to be critical in this election Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Virginia. President Obama can probably stand to lose one or two of those states. For Mitt Romney to win the presidency he's got to win at least three of those states.
Romney has to win 4/5 of those states, assuming NV stays in the team blue column.
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Old 04-18-2012, 10:23 AM
 
8,676 posts, read 8,846,828 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Just researched it a bit, it wasn't an approve/disapprove poll it was excellent/good/fair/poor, with the largest amount rated Cicilline as fair. Regardless if anything he is more trouble in a Primary than the General. Obama sure as hell isn't losing a state he won by 28.
Because there are no Presidental polls out for RI, I would base it off the congressional polls which shows the Democrat losing by 16 points and Cicilline at 34%, I would assume Obama is doing better there but is Probably losing that Distict ( Which is the more populous and Democratic one) which spells bad news For Obama in that state
In New England Romney could get 9 delegates, 4 from. RI, 4 from NH and 1 from a split in Maine, Ideally for the Republicans, but realistically he could get between 1-5 delegates.
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Old 04-18-2012, 08:13 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
18,783 posts, read 14,900,293 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btownboss4 View Post
Because there are no Presidental polls out for RI, I would base it off the congressional polls which shows the Democrat losing by 16 points and Cicilline at 34%, I would assume Obama is doing better there but is Probably losing that Distict ( Which is the more populous and Democratic one) which spells bad news For Obama in that state
In New England Romney could get 9 delegates, 4 from. RI, 4 from NH and 1 from a split in Maine, Ideally for the Republicans, but realistically he could get between 1-5 delegates.
I think you mean EV's, not delegates. This truly is an astonishing post. Its absolutely nuts. Romney doesn't have a chance in hell of getting any EV's out of Maine. He has ZERO chance ZILCH NADA NONE at all of winning Rhode Island. Its one of the most Democratic states in the entire country. This would be as absurd as suggesting Obama would win Kansas (which by the way was much closer than Rhode Island was in 08)
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Old 04-18-2012, 08:23 PM
 
8,676 posts, read 8,846,828 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
I think you mean EV's, not delegates. This truly is an astonishing post. Its absolutely nuts. Romney doesn't have a chance in hell of getting any EV's out of Maine. He has ZERO chance ZILCH NADA NONE at all of winning Rhode Island. Its one of the most Democratic states in the entire country. This would be as absurd as suggesting Obama would win Kansas (which by the way was much closer than Rhode Island was in 08)
Northern Maine (ME-1) is more Republican, but he has a slim chance of Winning Maine he could get a EV from the Split, RI has a sputtering economy (~10% Unemployment) and a populous fed up with the Democratic Party, they even elected an Independant for Governor over a semi-popular Democrat in 2010.
Now MAssachusetts has nearly 0 chance of going (R) this year because it economy came back strong, and the Democrats sweeping victories in 2010 don't bode well for Republicans this year.
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