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Republicans, as they have for nearly three years now, continue to lead Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending Sunday, April 15.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 36% would choose the Democrat instead. This is the largest gap between the two parties since the beginning of 2011. It also doubles the gap found a week ago when the Republican led by five points, 45% to 40%.
a survey of pollsters found Rasmussen tied for first in accurately predicting the 2008 prez elections. I don't claim to be an expert on polling, but I've always noticed that Rasmussen tends to be a step ahead. Other pollsters seem to end up where Rasmussen is, only a couple months later. A good example is when Ras. found Gingrich had suddenly vaulted to the front of the R field in Dec 2011. It looked like an outlier at first, but it turned out to be anything but. Rasmussen: Gingrich 38, Romney 17
If it makes people feel better to shoot the messenger, however, I fully understand that.
I wish I had someone in the room with me to make a bet, I thought "Rasmussen poll" before I clicked the thread. You'd have just as much luck predicting the election asking Mitt Romney's opinion on what he thinks the generic vote would be
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