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Romney' big problem is that he has dug so many holes for himself due to unprecedented flip floipping and sucking up the the right wing extremists, that once the debates begin, he will fall into every one of them.
The liberals on the forum were very excited last week when Obama took the lead. Well, liberals, Romney has made a comeback.
Quick!
Move up the election to yesterday!
It's still 6 months until the election. While the political neophytes can point to the tracking polls and enjoy their little daily "victories", the figures in October will be meaningful indicators. The figures in May, not so much.
DailyKos already debunked the poll already, the poll under sampled minorities enough to effect it. Minorities were under sampled by 4 or 5% from the last election I didn't go back and look at it. If you add in minorities which went 95% for Obama he is still ahead by 4 to 6%....
Also he is ahead in Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. Romney has to carry these states in order to win.
As of now Obama is looking at a 300 electoral vote land slide.
Also add in the good news for the Senate with the Dems only loosing one seat and the Repubs, loosing two or three, and the house a toss up and it's looking good for the Dems.
The liberals on the forum were very excited last week when Obama took the lead. Well, liberals, Romney has made a comeback.
It's ONE POLL and the other poll that shows a close race is by Ramussen with is consistently in the tank for Republican candidates, and of course FOX News.
The real Mitt Romney appears ... I think Norquist says, Romney is just a guy with moveable digits on his hand for signing Ryan's Plan into Law. You know, Ryan's plan of big tax cuts for wealthy, and big cuts in help to low and middle class. Nothing else in any specificity.
Yea, but when every poll shows him with a 4 to 6% lead then the moe goes out the window as the sample size becomes much largers. Stats 101.
The poll the OP quoted was 47%/46%. My calculation says that's 1% difference, not 4-6%. Besides, in close elections all that matters is which states each is ahead, as we use a electoral vote system, not popular vote system. Popular votes don't matter -- just ask President Gore.
Besides, we're months away from the election and who is slightly ahead now is meaningless.
The fact that Romney is way ahead in Utah can make the national numbers skewed.
The house of Ras has over the last 10 years has shown a 2 to 4% sampling error in favor of the republicans over the dems. This has been confirmed. Also the latest gallup poll under sampled minorities by 4% which gave Romney a lead. Throw these two pollsters out and Obama's up 4 to 6 % over the last few months.
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Romney makes a comeback in Gallup daily tracking poll, retakes lead over Obama
