Romney's Running Mate- Betcha its gonna be (voters, campaign, democrat)
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Have you noticed how Romney did dismally in the Southern Primaries?
Obama won 3 States in the South in 08 and was close in a forth (Georgia) it should be scary for republicans going into this election.
I am not saying that Mississippi, Alabama, Texas are going Blue, but I sure don't see them coming all out for Romney. ARK may return a lighter shade of red too.
To cross the finish line Romney needs both Ohio and Florida, but before that he needs to win back Virginia and North Carolina. That is why I think he is gonna pick a VP from a Southern State. By bet is on Bob Mc Donnell from Virginia
Romney is weak among women but I think he will be too scared to pick a woman as his VP because memories of Palin are still too fresh. Its too soon for the republicans. A Southern Female Minority (Such as Nikki Haley) would send waves but again the risks are too high.
Presidential Candidates need to sure up their negatives in their VP, and although Nikki would raise Romney's scores in certain constituencies, the two together don't make a full President like Obama and Biden did.
Months before Obama announced it, I told friends that he was gonna pick Biden. Everyone said he was boring, and I said exactly. Obama was the celebrity, he was young, no foreign/ millitary experience. Obama needed someone with experience, he needed someone low key and he needed someone White. Biden was the obvious choice.
Romney has a variety of choices, but a Southerner, preferably from Virginia seems like the best bet to me. He can win FL and OH without picking people from there People having been touting Rubio, I think that is the fast way to lose the election.
I would say, you might be right. Virginia and North Carolina will be very important in this election. Also, McDonnel, being a former military person has the foreign policy experience to balance the ticket. I have thought it might be McDonnell all along.
I would say Portman. Romney needs a safe pick. Look at Clinton-Gore, they were from neighboring states, were both perceived as moderate Democrats, and really didn't complement each others weaknesses at all. Sometimes that's all you need, someone who's in tune with you. I don't think we should be looking strategically by region, gender, race etc. I gave the Clinton-Gore example. But Bush picked Cheney from a safe red state (Wyoming) and Obama picked Biden from a safe blue state (Delaware). In 84, Mondale picked Ferraro, a female, and lost. In 88, Dukakis picked Bentsen (Texas) and lost. In 96, Dole (Kansas) picked Kemp (New York) and lost. In 2000, Gore (Tennessee) picked Lieberman (Jewish, Connecticut) and lost. In 2004, Kerry (Massachusetts) picked Edwards (North Carolina) and lost. In 2008, McCain picked Palin (Female) and lost.
Obviously, my cherry picking doesn't conclusively prove that picking a running mate with a complementary gender/race/region/ethnicity doesn't help. but I think I gave enough examples to show that any benefit is marginal and inconsequential at best, especially since the examples I pointed out of people who used that strategy lost to people who didn't use that strategy and went with "safe" picks, people more like themselves. And that seems to me to be the ticket.
If Romney picks Portman, I think they can frame themselves as the adults in the race who are above all the political celebrity nonsense when our country is in such crisis. I think they will have a much more focused message than if the VP were someone with a little more pizazz. 200 years of this country's history shows boring can win elections. It doesn't always, but it can. And I really think that's the best option for Romney
...except Cheney picked himself. He was in charge of selecting the VP for Bush, picked himself, and Bush went along with it.
Great analysis! I am a from the other side, but if I were Romney I would go with a center right candidate from the south with strong evangelical support. Someone like bush, but more small town middle class. The reason I say this is because Romney isn't going to bring out the christian vote and he is seen as the rich stiff republican. They need to offset that with an intelligent southerner who can bring out the charm, something romney lacks.
I would say, you might be right. Virginia and North Carolina will be very important in this election. Also, McDonnel, being a former military person has the foreign policy experience to balance the ticket. I have thought it might be McDonnell all along.
Could be right, McDonnell is reserving more ad time for the next few weeks. Do you think Romney can withstand the continuing ad blitz of his?
Great analysis! I am a from the other side, but if I were Romney I would go with a center right candidate from the south with strong evangelical support. Someone like bush, but more small town middle class. The reason I say this is because Romney isn't going to bring out the christian vote and he is seen as the rich stiff republican. They need to offset that with an intelligent southerner who can bring out the charm, something romney lacks.
Do you mean someone like Huckabee?
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