Gerrymandering Congressional Districts (voters, Democrats, Republicans, political)

[btownboss4]

Im sure this will be critical in the 2012 race for Congress, most will probably favor the Republican because they control most State Governments right now.
However my list is of ones I know which tend to help Democrats because I live in a Democratic areas, but I'm Sure Nationally it helps Republicans more.

RI-1/RI-2 (D) This is Democratically favored the more Popular Rep. in RI-2 took on more Republican towns while the vurerable one in RI-1 pick up a coupe Democratic ones, with little to no population change
MA-4 (D) Its absolutly insane shape wandering from Newton (Boston) to the South Coast is just Bizzare.
MA-7- not towards any party but as a Minority-Majority seat in ann 80/20 state, I feel like it stifles Minorities outside that District
Large portions of Texas seem to be Gerrymandering for Republicans

[stillkit]

There won't be another re-districting until 2020...unless the GOP pulls the same stunt in other places that they did in Texas a few years ago. Which they got away with, by the way.

[box_of_zip_disks]

Actually it turned out to be a wash overall. Republican gains in the south and mountain west were offset by democratic gains in the west, northeast, and upper midwest.

[btownboss4]

Originally Posted by box_of_zip_disks

Actually it turned out to be a wash overall. Republican gains in the south and mountain west were offset by democratic gains in the west, northeast, and upper midwest.

In Massachusetts, Rhode Island, California (less so), New York, CT ect. Gerrymandering does not hurt the Republicans all that much because they wouldn't gain much anyway, and vice versa for Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, Tennesee, South Carolina ect.
but 50/50 ish states slid Republican in 2010, thats where it matters.
So a 50/50 state with ten seats theoritcally would have 5 D and 5 R. but if the Republicans make 2 districts that have a 90/10 D/R ratio, that expends 20% of the voters, but 18% of those are Democrats 2% are Republicans, so that leaves a 58/42 margin for the rest of the state, thus an 8/2 R/D split.
In a state Like Massachusetts, 63/37, it would be hard to effectivly get a Republican in or signifigantly help a Democrat unless its a specific congressperson.

[PhenomenalAJ]

Republican gerrymandering gains:
OH
NC
IN
PA
VA
GA

Democratic gerrymandering gains:
MD
IL

Florida and California will all go more Democratic because of fair redistricting laws. Texas will go more Democratic because the legislature is attempting to deny Latinos majority Latino districts so the courts will give Dems a small boost there.

[box_of_zip_disks]

2012 Cook Political Report Redistricting Outlook | The Cook Political Report

Here's a decent overview based on reapportionment and redistricting maps barring a few court challenges, but so far it's -1 D/+1 R, so like I said, not so drastic a change. The biggest potential loss was Texas' proposed redistricting plan getting shot down.

[BentBow]

Originally Posted by PhenomenalAJ

Republican gerrymandering gains:
OH
NC
IN
PA
VA
GA

Democratic gerrymandering gains:
MD
IL

Florida and California will all go more Democratic because of fair redistricting laws. Texas will go more Democratic because the legislature is attempting to deny Latinos majority Latino districts so the courts will give Dems a small boost there.

Texas gained some districts, while New York lost districts.

[Green Onions]

Originally Posted by BentBow

Texas gained some districts, while New York lost districts.

Yep, Texas gained four seats -- the Cook political report forecasts the four seats will split 2 R, 2 D. As for New York, Cook predicts the two lost seats will be split, one from each party.

2012 Cook Political Report Redistricting Outlook | The Cook Political Report

It's a wash.

[btownboss4]

well according the Rothenburg, Tisbury is in the 6th District
While this district does include the Democratic strongholds of Lynn and Salem, several GOP-leaning towns, including North Andover, Tisbury and Billerica, were just added to the district.

LOL, Tisbury is on Marthas Vinyard, they Ment Tewksbury, a town next to Billerica, that isvery near NH.

[freemkt]

I remember when Tewksbury was a Yankees pitcher.