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Overall, Romney leads Obama by 1 point. In the Politico/GWU Battleground Poll in February, Obama led Romney by 9 points.
Correct me if I'm wrong but it looks like this poll was just prior to the realease of the horrible April jobs report. If the poll were done today I'm guessing Romney might get a couple points or so from that news.
Obama I think has really stumbled out of the gate with the Osama ad and the Life of Julia ad. Most likely Team Obama will recognize those errors and get things turned around. I've heard a few early adopters here and there start to talk about a 55-45 Romney over Obama landslide. I don't know, but I think it's possible.
So and this is what really matters Obama has these voters & Romney could not get them if he paid them about 80% of these voters are for Obama
Blacks
55+
Women
Poor
Middle class
Gays
18 to 26 Obama only has about 50% of them right now
So you are saying that Obama will win all of those grips 80/20, with Women alone that's 42-43% of the vote, plus the middle class is an additional 30-32 points and no president has ever had more than 60% of the vote.
Correct me if I'm wrong but it looks like this poll was just prior to the realease of the horrible April jobs report. If the poll were done today I'm guessing Romney might get a couple points or so from that news.
You are correct.
Obama I think has really stumbled out of the gate with the Osama ad and the Life of Julia ad. Most likely Team Obama will recognize those errors and get things turned around. I've heard a few early adopters here and there start to talk about a 55-45 Romney over Obama landslide. I don't know, but I think it's possible.
Julia, Chen, Spiking the UBL ball. I'm guessing people are also getting tired again of his constant blame game, excuses and attack on private citizens.
Looks like Mitt's favorability ratings have gone up to.
Gosh, all that attacking Mitt and his family for their wealth seems to have fallen on deaf ears.
Most believe the GOP will keep the House and take the Senate too.
And here is a shocker to those looking for "equality" and everyone paying their "fair share" (as if those that PAY taxes don't already)
LOOK at this -
Quote:
32. What do you personally think is the percentage that very wealthy people, those making 1 million dollars
per year or more, should be paying in taxes?
10% or less .................................................. ......... 11%
11-19% .................................................. ..................... 7%
20-29% .................................................. ................... 23%
30% .................................................. ........................ 16%
31%+ .................................................. ...................... 31%
Unsure/Refused (DNR) ........................................... 13%
57% believe the "rich" should pay 30% OR LESS in taxes.
71% ANY tax increases should pay down debt/deficit. They believe obama would spend the money though. 61% think he would spend it.
This is a devastating poll for obama.
Oh, they're seriously oversampled liberals and undersampled moderates.
Shouldn't Obama still be well ahead at this point? A look at past spring polling suggests that an incumbent with a less than about 10 point lead at this point, is in deep trouble. For example Ford was up 6 in April, yet lost; Carter was up 2 yet lost. Of incumbents with weak spring polling, only W Bush in 04 went on to win. What Do Springtime Polls Tell Us About the General Election? - NYTimes.com
I also see potential land mines ahead for Pres Obama. What if there are riots following a 'not guilty' verdict for Zimmerman? I believe that could come back to bite hard, since Obama was dumb enough to weigh in on the case when he really didn't have to. What if ObamaCare is tossed by the SCOTUS? That will leave a mark. What if 'Fast and Furious' finally blows up close to the election? I don't see any similar land mines for Romney.
Shouldn't Obama still be well ahead at this point? A look at past spring polling suggests that an incumbent with a less than about 10 point lead at this point, is in deep trouble. For example Ford was up 6 in April, yet lost; Carter was up 2 yet lost. Of incumbents with weak spring polling, only W Bush in 04 went on to win. What Do Springtime Polls Tell Us About the General Election? - NYTimes.com
I also see potential land mines ahead for Pres Obama. What if there are riots following a 'not guilty' verdict for Zimmerman? I believe that could come back to bite hard, since Obama was dumb enough to weigh in on the case when he really didn't have to. What if ObamaCare is tossed by the SCOTUS? That will leave a mark. What if 'Fast and Furious' finally blows up close to the election? I don't see any similar land mines for Romney.
excellant points; no one can say who will win or lose, other than to take guess, mainly based on our hearts not our heads, but If any of the things you mentioned were to happen, it would be the end of Obama, especially "
Fast and Furious" or the possibility of riots. This worries me btw. Not because of the election but because riots do nothing but hurt everyone and I really think Zimmerman is going to get off. I think it would have been wiser to charge him with involuntery man slaughter.
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