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With 538 electoral votes and a majority needed for election. Isn't it true that Romney would win a 269-269 tie with Obama? The tie breaker is the House of Representatives and the Republicans control that and should continue to control that after the 2012 election. It would be one state, one vote in the House, but the Republicans control more states in this manner and should be able to elect Romney.
The likelihood of a tie is remote, but is a realistic possibility. Now if the Senate gets to pick the Vice President in the event of a tie and the Democrats still control that, wouldn't that be interesting? Would we see a Romney presidency with Hillary as VP if we get an electoral tie on election night?
I would love to see both obama and romney not get enough votes and have Gary Johnson get the 270 electoral votes needed to beat both of them.
If there is a tie in the electoral college, here is how each state would currently vote if it is along strict party lines:
Romney: 33 States
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
Colorado
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Michigan
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Virginia
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
Obama: 15 states
California
Connecticut
Delaware
Hawaii
Iowa
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
Oregon
Rhode Island
Vermont
Washington
Tie: 2 states
Minnesota
New Jersey (1 vacancy: should swing back to Obama if filled, but otherwise governor gets the vote and it swings to Romney)
As you can see, Romney should easily win a tie if it goes to the House. Remember 1 state = 1 vote based on their US House of Rep members.
There is no realistic way at the moment that the Democrats could gain the edge in the House for the 269 to 269 Tie Breaker in a 1 state gets 1 vote basis.
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