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Old 06-25-2012, 01:14 AM
 
Location: atlanta
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Although it's not likely, it is certainly possible for a 269-269 tie to occur in this election. Just fiddling around a bit I was able to find three scenarios that only involve swing states changing columns:

2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

http://www.270towin.com/2012_electio....php?mapid=nSg

http://www.270towin.com/2012_electio....php?mapid=nSi

the last one would be a bit of a stretch but the first two are certainly possible. thoughts?

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Old 06-25-2012, 06:47 AM
 
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Romney will all most certainly win a tie. If neither candidate gets a majority in the electoral college vote, then it goes to the House of Reps where 1 state gets 1 vote based on its members -- this favors the Republican at the moment.
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Old 06-25-2012, 06:54 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
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It's a shame the Founders did not specify a duel as the means to break a tie.
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Old 06-25-2012, 06:56 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
It's a shame the Founders did not specify a duel as the means to break a tie.
If a Republican said that they would be characterized as barbaric and racist.
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Old 06-25-2012, 07:58 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
It's a shame the Founders did not specify a duel as the means to break a tie.

Well, considering Obama's ability at bowling and throwing a baseball, do you think it would be such a good idea?
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Old 06-25-2012, 08:04 AM
 
Location: Norman, OK
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Whoever wins this election, it will be much closer than 2008 and resemble more like 2004 or 2000. In fact, I could see wither Obama or Romney winning with < 285 EVs and maybe even < 280 EVs.
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Old 06-25-2012, 08:06 AM
 
Location: Texas
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Here are some other possible tie scenarios:

2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

Obviously the scenario depicted in the first map I posted is the most likely of all these to actually happen. As far as the second, multiple polls show MI basically tied, but I still for some reason don't really think it's in play. As far as the third, the most recent OR poll that I'm aware of does show Obama up by just 4 and below 50%, but I still don't think it's really in play.
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Old 06-25-2012, 08:12 AM
 
Location: Texas
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michiganmoon View Post
Romney will all most certainly win a tie. If neither candidate gets a majority in the electoral college vote, then it goes to the House of Reps where 1 state gets 1 vote based on its members -- this favors the Republican at the moment.
Yep. But the Senate would choose the VP in such a scenario.
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Old 06-25-2012, 09:22 AM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
It's a shame the Founders did not specify a duel as the means to break a tie.
I thought they did, i thought they drew straws and the shortest one was the winner.
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Old 06-25-2012, 11:44 AM
 
Location: Norman, OK
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Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
Yep. But the Senate would choose the VP in such a scenario.
Romney/Obama 2012!
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