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No, they're not worthless. The chance of one candidate winning the popular vote and one winning in the electoral college is very slim and it's virtually none if one candidate is able to win the popular vote by more than about 1 point.
At this point, I agree that the opinion polls are worthless, but yet some people here on CD post results daily. I don't think they understand what polls are and when to pay attention, if at all.
To the extent that the election is close, a national poll is worth less. However, even with close elections there was only one case in modern times where a candidate lost the popular vote but won the electoral vote. So chances are that if a candidate is ahead in the national polls, he/she will win the election.
If polls are useless, why does every major candidate hire pollsters and conduct internal polling?
I just heard results on a poll nationwide between Obama and Romney.
Since the election is decided by electoral votes ( state by state ) isn't a nation wide poll worthless ?
The only poll that matters is the one taken on the first Tuesday of an even numbered year. Everything else is guess work. Somebody has a job to guess.
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