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Old 07-25-2012, 11:08 AM
 
Location: South Carolina
8,145 posts, read 6,530,889 times
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RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Wisconsin: Romney vs. Obama

WI just went from toss up to leans Obama giving Obama 231 solid EC votes! Check out the map.
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Old 07-25-2012, 11:15 AM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,459,826 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by enemy country View Post
RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Wisconsin: Romney vs. Obama

WI just went from toss up to leans Obama giving Obama 231 solid EC votes! Check out the map.
Big lead? Obama is below 50% in the average in the state...

"Solid" EC votes? Actually READ what it says in your link. Obama sure as hell does not have 231 "solid" EV's according to the map. WI is "lean" Obama according to RCP, as are several other states, in addition to several that are "likely" Obama. The "lean" and "likely" states are included in the 231.
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Old 07-25-2012, 11:19 AM
 
Location: South Carolina
8,145 posts, read 6,530,889 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
Big lead? Obama is below 50% in the average in the state...

"Solid" EC votes? Actually READ what it says in your link. Obama sure as hell does not have 231 "solid" EV's according to the map. WI is "lean" Obama according to RCP, as are several other states, in addition to several that are "likely" Obama. The "lean" and "likely" states are included in the 231.
If that makes feel better then thats fine with me but it looks like mittens lies and shadowy behavior are catching up with him. If below 50% is so bad for Obama why is mittens not pulling away with the race?
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Old 07-25-2012, 11:55 AM
 
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The Obama stooges really must be desperate. Every single day they find some poll. No matter how unreliable or skewed towards Democrats. BTW,Obama needs to win Wisconsin. He can't lose it. Being ahead there is nothing to celebrate.
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Old 07-25-2012, 11:59 AM
 
Location: South Carolina
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Originally Posted by Electric Blue View Post
The Obama stooges really must be desperate. Every single day they find some poll. No matter how unreliable or skewed towards Democrats. BTW,Obama needs to win Wisconsin. He can't lose it. Being ahead there is nothing to celebrate.
Election 2012: Michigan President - Rasmussen Reports™
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Old 07-25-2012, 12:01 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
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The Obama edge in WI has been steady for some time now. It will likely hold through the election. The same can be said about the national polls. Romney leads in few, if any, and is showing no signs of gaining or losing strength. This one is over and Obama is going to win.
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Old 07-25-2012, 12:16 PM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,835,695 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Electric Blue View Post
The Obama stooges really must be desperate. Every single day they find some poll. No matter how unreliable or skewed towards Democrats. BTW,Obama needs to win Wisconsin. He can't lose it. Being ahead there is nothing to celebrate.
no he doesnt.
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Old 07-25-2012, 01:46 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,416,507 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by enemy country View Post
RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Wisconsin: Romney vs. Obama

WI just went from toss up to leans Obama giving Obama 231 solid EC votes! Check out the map.
I have no problem conceding Wisconsin is currently leaning towards Obama, not sure why though, considering the success Walker is having turning around the state.

Romney should co-opt Walker more IMHO, some dual appearances etc.
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Old 07-25-2012, 01:49 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,416,507 times
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Originally Posted by enemy country View Post
Quote:
The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.
Worst case from my perspective Romney could be down 10.5% in the state, best case he's only down 1.5%. Either way Romney will have to run up the white vote in the state to counter the monolithic and large black vote in Detroit. That was always going to be difficult. Still Michigan is tighter than it should be, not a good sign for team Obama IMHO.
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Old 07-25-2012, 01:54 PM
 
1,635 posts, read 1,593,674 times
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Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
no he doesnt.
Yes he does. If he loses a liberal state like Wisconsin,he is certainly losing Florida,Virginia,Ohio etc.
That state hasn't went for a Republican since 1984. Again,nothing to celebrate. Saying that,given how dishonest and skewed most of the polls are,with their absurd Democrat oversampling,maybe it's not even accurate. One more thing,RealClear Politics still has that state in gray,as a tossup.
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