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I cannot see Romney carrying a single state in New England and the Mid-Atlantic states: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts (Romney's home state), Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Maryland or DC. In this region of the US, I can only see Romney carrying West Virginia.
That is my prediction.
If Pennsylvania goes to Obama, there will be little to no chance for Romney to win. With the states that will go to Obama and add in Pennsylvania, Obama has almost enough electoral votes he would need to win and would either need Ohio or a couple smaller states to go blue.
I cannot see Romney carrying a single state in New England and the Mid-Atlantic states: Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts (Romney's home state), Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Maryland or DC. In this region of the US, I can only see Romney carrying West Virginia.
That is my prediction.
Nothing too much to quibble with here. The Northeast is a bastion of high tax liberalism. He has a good shot in New Hampshire though but I wouldn't be shocked if your prediction is accurate.
If Pennsylvania goes to Obama, there will be little to no chance for Romney to win. With the states that will go to Obama and add in Pennsylvania, Obama has almost enough electoral votes he would need to win and would either need Ohio or a couple smaller states to go blue.
Most maps have Obama winning PA and he is still not at 270 although he is close. If Romney loses FL it is over. He could lose Ohio but he would have to run the table in the remaining swing states almost impossible. So he has to win Ohio as well. He wins those two Tuesday night on Nov 6 will become very interesting and a late night for most people.
Romney has the edge among white Evangelical Christians (70-18 percent), white voters (53-36 percent), married voters (51-38 percent), men (48-40 percent) and seniors (50-41 percent).
Obama has the advantage among black voters (86-6 percent), women (48-42 percent), lower income households (53-35 percent), young voters (48-39 percent) and unmarried voters (55-34 percent).
Independents back Romney by 42-32 percent (one in four is undecided).
Obama won Indies in 2008 52-44%. He's only leading by 7 with women.
Oh dear.
One last thing...these are likely voters.
And the sample is ......D+4.
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