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Old 09-17-2012, 07:22 AM
 
4,684 posts, read 4,570,248 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by momonkey View Post
the political scientists

And who are these geniuses? Nostradamus, I suppose?
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Old 09-17-2012, 07:41 AM
 
Location: Texas
14,076 posts, read 20,517,411 times
Reputation: 7807
The only poll that means anything will be taken in November.
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Old 09-17-2012, 07:44 AM
 
Location: Long Island, NY
19,792 posts, read 13,938,401 times
Reputation: 5661
Quote:
Originally Posted by ObserverNY View Post
Now momonkey, don't go upsetting the Obots with a study that has correctly picked the Presidential winner every time SINCE 1980! According to them, history never repeats itself. Nor will they acknowledge that since this study was released, Obama has lost most of the Jewish vote in this country. I personally know two Jewish college Professors who, despite voting for Obama in '08, are going to hold their noses and vote for Romney this time around.
Let them battle it out, because Allan Lichtman has never been wrong either and he says Obama will win:

Quote:
Allan Lichtman, the American University professor whose election formula has correctly called every president since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, has a belated birthday present for Barack Obama: Rest easy, your re-election is in the bag.

“Even if I am being conservative, I don’t see how Obama can lose,” says Lichtman, the brains behind The Keys to the White House.
Never-Wrong Pundit Picks Obama to Win in 2012 - Washington Whispers (usnews.com)
In addition, Nate Silver says, it's false advertising to claim CU model has predicted the last 8 elections right. It's a new model. Hasn't predicted anything yet.
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Old 09-17-2012, 07:54 AM
 
Location: Stasis
15,823 posts, read 12,454,770 times
Reputation: 8599
Quote:
with a study that has correctly picked the Presidential winner every time SINCE 1980!
It's just a multiple regression model based on economic indicators. It didn't 'predict' any of the past elections.
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Old 09-18-2012, 09:21 AM
 
14,293 posts, read 9,670,860 times
Reputation: 4254
Default September 18, 2012 University of Colorado prediction model points to big Romney win



A presidential election prediction model developed by two University of Colorado professors points to a big win for GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney in November.
The model, the only of its kind to use more than one state-level economic indicator, has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1980.

It predicts Romney winning the electoral college by a 320-218 margin and winning 52.9 percent of the popular vote when only the two major parties’ candidates are considered, the Associated Press reported Thursday.

LINK
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Old 09-18-2012, 09:40 AM
 
Location: Syracuse, New York
3,121 posts, read 3,093,204 times
Reputation: 2312
How the hell is Romney going to win Minnesota?
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Old 09-18-2012, 09:43 AM
 
5,787 posts, read 4,712,493 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SyraBrian View Post
How the hell is Romney going to win Minnesota?

By getting more votes.
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Old 09-18-2012, 09:43 AM
 
Location: Home, Home on the Front Range
25,826 posts, read 20,686,329 times
Reputation: 14818
Quote:
Originally Posted by OICU812 View Post

A presidential election prediction model developed by two University of Colorado professors points to a big win for GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney in November.
The model, the only of its kind to use more than one state-level economic indicator, has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1980.

It predicts Romney winning the electoral college by a 320-218 margin and winning 52.9 percent of the popular vote when only the two major parties’ candidates are considered, the Associated Press reported Thursday.

LINK
This is from 8/23.
Have they re-run their tests recently?
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Old 09-18-2012, 09:46 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,151,656 times
Reputation: 7875
Wait, I thought all colleges were liberal indoctrination machines.
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Old 09-18-2012, 09:46 AM
 
14,293 posts, read 9,670,860 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jt800 View Post
By getting more votes.
But the democrats in that state proved that they can find votes for democrats in desk drawers, car trunks, and all sorts of places, to get their candidate over the finish line. You see now where fraudulent voter registrations come in handy? If your candidate is losing, you suddenly cast all those fake votes and bingo.... your guy wins.
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