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Let's see how he handles this latest Mideast mess. Maybe he'll go back on Letterman and outline his plans for us. Netanyahu could drop by as well and make some suggestions.
The OP is accounting for a new poll, which might signal a trend downward. The RCP average will not capture any trend if it started today. But again, there may or may not be a trend. Predictions were for this week to be a good one for Obama post-convention but then the polls to settle back. Let's see this time next week whether it's a bounce or a bump.
Those are the same white men that Obama was already trailing. Their numbers are overwhelmed by all the other groups the President leads with. The total numbers are what's important and the President leads in the totals.
It sure looks like desperation has set in on the Romney side -- clinging to a single ray of hope.
Uhhhh....Obama leads among white women? Really?!?!? According to what poll?
Independents, regardless of race and gender, are going to decide the election. Romney being up 11-14 with independents is not bad news for him. Romney and Obama are statistically tied in the ABC News/Washington Post poll that oversampled Democrats.
Let's look at the CNN poll a few days ago that had Obama up by 6. Romney was up by 14 with independents. Massive oversampling of Democrats. Even you would have to realize that. (Incidentally, Romney was up less with independents in their poll that showed the candidates exactly tied right after the RNC.) You cannot tell me with a straight face that Obama will win the election if Romney does end up winning independents by 11-14.
Look, I know how much you all hate Rasmussen (even though Nate Silver who you all love says they're less biased than PPP, Pew, even Survey USA, etc.). Anyway, let's compare Rasmussen's tracking poll today to a few days ago. Even if you don't trust their numbers themselves, look at the trend. Today? Obama +1.
Seems if Obama ever got a bounce, it is already over...
Oba-meh's 'Dead Cat Bounce' show is over. The cat has left the stage.
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