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Old 10-13-2012, 08:03 PM
 
Location: it depends
6,369 posts, read 6,407,529 times
Reputation: 6388

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With Obama cratering from 265 Electoral votes on the 9/30/2012 map to just 201 today (10/13/2012), on what date does Mitt Romney pull ahead of Obama? The tally stands at Obama 201, Romney 191.

I'm guessing in ten days, or 10/23/2012, Romney will dominate this measure.

What do you think?

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House State Changes
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Old 10-13-2012, 08:07 PM
 
7,540 posts, read 11,572,390 times
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R Money with all his really stupid comment about how he hates everyone who is not part of the 1% to 3% he has no chance of winning. One more thing that has killed his chances Ryan's debate performance was a major dud and shows he will not be ready any time soon to be VP
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Old 10-13-2012, 08:07 PM
 
4,684 posts, read 4,572,348 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
on what date does Mitt Romney pull ahead of Obama?

Nov. 7th, 2012?
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Old 10-13-2012, 08:09 PM
 
Location: Area 51.5
13,887 posts, read 13,667,657 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJboutit View Post
R Money with all his really stupid comment about how he hates everyone who is not part of the 1% to 3% he has no chance of winning. One more thing that has killed his chances Ryan's debate performance was a major dud and shows he will not be ready any time soon to be VP
I'd sure like to see that. Do you have a video? Or is this just another figment of your vapid imagination?
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Old 10-13-2012, 08:10 PM
 
Location: it depends
6,369 posts, read 6,407,529 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DJboutit View Post
R Money with all his really stupid comment about how he hates everyone who is not part of the 1% to 3% he has no chance of winning. One more thing that has killed his chances Ryan's debate performance was a major dud and shows he will not be ready any time soon to be VP
got a link for that amazing allegation?
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Old 10-13-2012, 08:34 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,966,662 times
Reputation: 7315
The reality is Obama's drop did not go to MR. It went to toss up. MR needs to clearly win the last 2 debates, with an absolutely perfect campaign run for the last 3 plus weeks. Most toss ups that fell out of the Obama fold are still showing an Obama lead, but within the margin of error.

When Obama had 265, Mitt was over 180. His 191 now is not enough progress over that time.

Can he win? Yes. Intrade last I saw post VP debate had Mitt in the mid 30% range. So a lot of improvement is needed very fast. If he falls short, the largely wasted month of September stands out under root cause.

Just checked : MR 39.1% InTrade.
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Old 10-13-2012, 11:54 PM
 
Location: somewhere in the woods
16,880 posts, read 15,194,933 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by squarian View Post
Nov. 7th, 2012?

I agree!
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Old 10-13-2012, 11:54 PM
 
Location: Everywhere you want to be
2,106 posts, read 3,062,051 times
Reputation: 1007
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobtn View Post
The reality is Obama's drop did not go to MR. It went to toss up. MR needs to clearly win the last 2 debates, with an absolutely perfect campaign run for the last 3 plus weeks. Most toss ups that fell out of the Obama fold are still showing an Obama lead, but within the margin of error.

When Obama had 265, Mitt was over 180. His 191 now is not enough progress over that time.

Can he win? Yes. Intrade last I saw post VP debate had Mitt in the mid 30% range. So a lot of improvement is needed very fast. If he falls short, the largely wasted month of September stands out under root cause.

Just checked : MR 39.1% InTrade.
Has Intrade predicted presidents in the past? I looked at that site earlier this year
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Old 10-14-2012, 12:37 AM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
1,988 posts, read 2,222,926 times
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Never.
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Old 10-14-2012, 04:30 AM
 
Location: Saudi Arabia
376 posts, read 652,602 times
Reputation: 226
Default After the next debate

Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
With Obama cratering from 265 Electoral votes on the 9/30/2012 map to just 201 today (10/13/2012), on what date does Mitt Romney pull ahead of Obama? The tally stands at Obama 201, Romney 191.

I'm guessing in ten days, or 10/23/2012, Romney will dominate this measure.

What do you think?

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House State Changes
Romney has Big Mo going and unless Obama and Media can stop it, it's going to run over the Obama/Media campaign. Remember that much of the states aren't polled like the national polls so a lot of that is based onold or limited data. Pennsylvania, Michigan, & Wisconsin are now considered toss ups....the times they are achanging.
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