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Poor guy thinking the office of President is decicided by the national vote.
If the race is tied on election day nationally some of these state polls are going to be off, unless Romney is running ridiculous margins in some states.
Obviously state polls are more important but national polls can also give a look at how the race is shaping up.
A number of latest presidential polls, including those from Gallup and Rasmussen, this week have shown Republican candidate Mitt Romney with an encouraging lead over President Barack Obama. Following the end of the debate season many had wondered whether Romney would be able to maintain the momentum he had gained throughout that period - although the swing of voters is no longer shifting so drastically his way, but he will be pleased he has been able to maintain his newly found advantage in a number of important swing states, and in nationwide polls. In the latest Gallup Presidential Poll released on Friday it was shown that Romney had opened up a significant 5 percent lead over Obama among “likely voters”.
The Gallup poll was released Friday at 1 p.m. ET, and gave Romney 51 percent of likely voters compared to Obama's 46 percent. The poll was recored over the period from Oct. 19 to Oct. 25, 2012.
If the race is tied on election day nationally some of these state polls are going to be off, unless Romney is running ridiculous margins in some states.
Obviously state polls are more important but national polls can also give a look at how the race is shaping up.
Romney is getting heavy margins in traditional red states, which is probably having an effect on national polls. That's why they're not particularly useful. It's about Ohio and not much else, and Obama has remained consistent there, if not increasing his lead slightly in the last week or two. Romney can forget about the election without it.
Gallup is going to be wrong. It shows a 7-point shift towards Republicans and a 4-point decline for Democrats since 2008, but reports coming out from early voting show it could be 40% or more of the votes and they are heavily in favor of Obama. There does not seem to be any drop in Democratic enthusiasm in the states that are in play this cycle.
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Polls: Swing States Remain Close; Latest Gallup Poll Shows Romney 5 Points Ahead of Obama
