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Old 10-24-2012, 05:26 PM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,595,893 times
Reputation: 1680

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Today's change - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012 +$0.48 (+8.7%)

Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

 
Old 10-24-2012, 05:46 PM
 
7,108 posts, read 8,965,519 times
Reputation: 6415
If I took this thread seriously, I would have had a stroke by now.
 
Old 10-24-2012, 06:02 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,413,661 times
Reputation: 6462
Shock poll: Michigan tied

Michigan Poll: Obama and Romney in dead heat - Fox 2 News Headlines
 
Old 10-24-2012, 06:22 PM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,095 posts, read 34,696,690 times
Reputation: 15093
Did anybody see the Time Magazine poll for Ohio?

Obama 49
Romney 44
 
Old 10-24-2012, 06:36 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,169,710 times
Reputation: 7875
Quote:
Originally Posted by walidm View Post
Today's change - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012 +$0.48 (+8.7%)

Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
Looks like Obama is now over 60% on Intrade with Romney just under 40%...I take it that isn't good news?
 
Old 10-24-2012, 06:49 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,077 posts, read 51,213,988 times
Reputation: 28322
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Looks like Obama is now over 60% on Intrade with Romney just under 40%...I take it that isn't good news?
I think some of the drop yesterday was the Trump rumor. Markets are like that. The news today is all in Obama's favor too with the polls and Mourdock. Mourdock will show up in the polls. Romney had managed to fool some of the women with his normal guy debate performance, but you are known by the company you keep more than by what you say.
 
Old 10-24-2012, 07:02 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,413,661 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
I think some of the drop yesterday was the Trump rumor. Markets are like that. The news today is all in Obama's favor too with the polls and Mourdock. Mourdock will show up in the polls. Romney had managed to fool some of the women with his normal guy debate performance, but you are known by the company you keep more than by what you say.
Wishful thinking.
 
Old 10-24-2012, 07:26 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,077 posts, read 51,213,988 times
Reputation: 28322
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
LOL, this one tops even Rasmussen for poor quality. It's another robo poll (land lines, published numbers) and then there is this:



Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey.

Think there might be a bit of systematic error there?
 
Old 10-24-2012, 07:57 PM
 
Location: On the border of off the grid
3,179 posts, read 3,165,027 times
Reputation: 863
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
LOL, this one tops even Rasmussen for poor quality. It's another robo poll (land lines, published numbers) and then there is this:



Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey.

Think there might be a bit of systematic error there?

Nope. As someone who has worked with a survey marketing company, I can tell you that if someone signs off before every question is answered, it cannot be counted as a completed survey. Sounds pretty accurate to me.
 
Old 10-24-2012, 08:01 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,413,661 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
LOL, this one tops even Rasmussen for poor quality. It's another robo poll (land lines, published numbers) and then there is this:



Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey.

Think there might be a bit of systematic error there?
I saw that too. Polling must be tough this year my guess is that folks who answer are engaged and messing with pollsters. Should be said the pollster is a Democrat firm. Does work for Dem clients.
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