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I saw that too. Polling must be tough this year my guess is that folks who answer are engaged and messing with pollsters. Should be said the pollster is a Democrat firm. Does work for Dem clients.
Yes. I have read that the response rates this year are much lower than usual. When only 1 in 35 agrees to be interviewed, you have to wonder if the sample is really random scientifically or is approaching self-selection polls like on the internet or something. Are those who agree to be interviewed truly representative of the population being sampled? Are they more partisan? More interested in the election? I am taking all robos with a very large grain of salt, and the traditional ones (who don't have much better response rates) with only a somewhat smaller grain. What I have noticed is that the robos tend more to Romney than the traditionals seem to by a couple points. But that is mostly impression and I have not really examined it. The election is so close that, in the end, most all the polls will be able to argue that they predicted the outcome within the margin of error regardless of how flawed their methodologies were.
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Originally Posted by Ponderosa
Yes. I have read that the response rates this year are much lower than usual. When only 1 in 35 agrees to be interviewed, you have to wonder if the sample is really random scientifically or is approaching self-selection polls like on the internet or something. Are those who agree to be interviewed truly representative of the population being sampled? Are they more partisan? More interested in the election? I am taking all robos with a very large grain of salt, and the traditional ones (who don't have much better response rates) with only a somewhat smaller grain. What I have noticed is that the robos tend more to Romney than the traditionals seem to by a couple points. But that is mostly impression and I have not really examined it. The election is so close that, in the end, most all the polls will be able to argue that they predicted the outcome within the margin of error regardless of how flawed their methodologies were.
While I tend to follow the state polls for a better indication of the electoral race, have also heard that almost all the state polls (unlike the nationals) are actually robos. Does anyone know how true that actually might be?
PPP had a VA poll showing Obama up 5 however it was done for a liberal client so it's not included in the RCP average.
NBC Marist will release CO & NV @ 6:30PM
Rasmussen tweeted out he'll have PA & MI results today but then pulled the tweet. Looks like a slow day today.
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Per CNN
