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Old 11-03-2012, 10:12 AM
 
Location: High Cotton
6,131 posts, read 6,253,370 times
Reputation: 3657

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Romney Beats Obama, Handily

I love it!!!

 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:16 AM
 
17,022 posts, read 9,088,555 times
Reputation: 5686
This is what I have been saying here several times already;

"That might not matter if Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 39 to 32 percent, as they did in the 2008 exit poll. But just about every indicator suggests that Republicans are more enthusiastic about voting -- and about their candidate -- than they were in 2008, and Democrats are less so."


That one factor alone counts in Romneys favor, in a big way.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:21 AM
 
Location: #
9,605 posts, read 14,295,868 times
Reputation: 6260
Barone is really taking a chance. Or he figures he's irrelevant anyways.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:28 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,161 posts, read 1,609,769 times
Reputation: 1278
Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post
In related news, Barone still expects the Tigers to come back and take the 2012 World Series...
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:38 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,208 posts, read 8,197,207 times
Reputation: 1892
Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post

There's really no basis for that other than wishful thinking. Everything would have to go Romney's way. I'll take the word of someone like Nate Silver and his statistical models over a partisan like Barone..

I'm a big MLB fan, so I was aware of Silver even before 2008..and if he says Romney currently has only a 16.3% chance of winning, he has only a 16.3% chance of winning.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:39 AM
 
17,022 posts, read 9,088,555 times
Reputation: 5686
Obama has less support than he did in '08,
Romney has greater support than McCain did in '08.

Do the math.


.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:42 AM
 
Location: #
9,605 posts, read 14,295,868 times
Reputation: 6260
Quote:
Originally Posted by bluesjuke View Post
Obama has less support than he did in '08,
Romney has greater support than McCain did in '08.

Do the math.


.
It doesn't matter because the red states such as Texas are going to skew the popular vote.

You are doing the wrong math.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:44 AM
 
2,548 posts, read 1,802,170 times
Reputation: 729
If you guys really believed that, why have are so few of you guys afraid to make a non montetary bet???
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:50 AM
 
23,851 posts, read 19,176,033 times
Reputation: 9378
Quote:
Originally Posted by Upton View Post
There's really no basis for that other than wishful thinking. Everything would have to go Romney's way. I'll take the word of someone like Nate Silver and his statistical models over a partisan like Barone..

I'm a big MLB fan, so I was aware of Silver even before 2008..and if he says Romney currently has only a 16.3% chance of winning, he has only a 16.3% chance of winning.
Did you happen to read the part where he discussed "fundamentals?" That's the "basis" and that's the part you apparently missed.
 
Old 11-03-2012, 10:57 AM
 
Location: In The Pacific
986 posts, read 1,136,298 times
Reputation: 1230
Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post
That means ex-President Obama has to own up to the Benghazi and Fast & Furious issues and won't be able to use his "executive privilege" anymore, except to get a pardon from President elect Mitt Romney to get a "get out of jail card"!
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