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I can see why the OP's user name is "theunbrainwashed".
It's hard to wash one's brain when they don't have one.
If you knew how to read English correctly, or have bothered to read my past posts, I've been calling this election for Obama to win , but only in the last week did I go undecided. Before insulting other people, make sure the bull**** you spew out sticks to the wall. I'll wait for your apology
I made this topic so we can see if we can toss this website out or not in the future. Apparently, this site is not worth the paper it's not printed on, as I have thought. My prediction was at the final moment that whomever the winner is would have a thin electoral majority, that was it. I didn't declare a winner (except before last week I said Obama was going to win)
You need to stop with the personal attacks! Whatever a person chooses as their username isn't open for insults. Grow up!
11-07-2012, 09:03 AM
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n/a posts
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent
Really? You must not have looked too hard. It was easy to find the information. In 2008, D's were +8. Democrats
Many of the pollsters this year are using a weight of anywhere from +4 to +11 for D's. That makes no sense in light of Gallup's likely voters at R +1, and Rasmussen’s party ID rolling research of 15,000 or so respondents' R's at +5.8.
So...your evidence is a link that isn't actually evidence at all.
Go look at how the various polling organizations identify likely voters. It isn't just "take the 2008 turnout by party ID, interview people in the same proportion, and project that as the result." That would be utterly idiotic, which is why they don't do it like that. This is something you can easily find out by visiting various polling organizations' web sites and reading what goes into their likely voter models.
The resounding question today is, how could so many people have been so completely wrong? It's almost as if they were relying on faith or magic or some other supernatural force to delude themselves into believing things that just ain't so.
Some of you are completely oblivious to the fact that the skewed polls are heavily and ERRONEOUSLY weighting Democrats (anywhere from +4 to +11) when Gallup has found that this year's likely voters actually favor Republicans +1. AND Independents are breaking for Romney in the double digits.
I made this topic so we can see if we can toss this website out or not in the future.
Oh, OK.
I could have told you the answer to that the minute you posted it. Anyone else who was paying attention and living in the real world could have done the same.
No, it doesn't. I'm enjoying seeing all of these old threads by the oh-so-confident-they-were-going-to-win-in-a-LANDSLIDE Republicans being dragged up so we can all laugh heartily. Good times!
Some of you are completely oblivious to the fact that the skewed polls are heavily and ERRONEOUSLY weighting Democrats (anywhere from +4 to +11) when Gallup has found that this year's likely voters actually favor Republicans +1. AND Independents are breaking for Romney in the double digits.
Is this Dick Morris, or one of his sheep? Baaaaaaa.
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