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Old 11-06-2012, 10:01 PM
 
Location: Limbo
6,512 posts, read 7,543,904 times
Reputation: 6319

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smoke_Jaguar4 View Post
Sooooo...,
How far off was this "unskewed" poll?
Let us laugh!

 
Old 11-06-2012, 10:50 PM
 
26,562 posts, read 14,432,756 times
Reputation: 7421
so...... margin of error +/- 150?
 
Old 11-07-2012, 04:39 AM
 
25,021 posts, read 27,917,737 times
Reputation: 11790
Quote:
Originally Posted by crbcrbrgv View Post
I can see why the OP's user name is "theunbrainwashed".

It's hard to wash one's brain when they don't have one.
If you knew how to read English correctly, or have bothered to read my past posts, I've been calling this election for Obama to win , but only in the last week did I go undecided. Before insulting other people, make sure the bull**** you spew out sticks to the wall. I'll wait for your apology

I made this topic so we can see if we can toss this website out or not in the future. Apparently, this site is not worth the paper it's not printed on, as I have thought. My prediction was at the final moment that whomever the winner is would have a thin electoral majority, that was it. I didn't declare a winner (except before last week I said Obama was going to win)
 
Old 11-07-2012, 08:54 AM
 
Location: in a galaxy far far away
19,194 posts, read 16,672,733 times
Reputation: 33316
crbcrbrgv

You need to stop with the personal attacks! Whatever a person chooses as their username isn't open for insults. Grow up!
 
Old 11-07-2012, 09:03 AM
i7pXFLbhE3gq
 
n/a posts
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
Really? You must not have looked too hard. It was easy to find the information. In 2008, D's were +8.
Democrats

Many of the pollsters this year are using a weight of anywhere from +4 to +11 for D's. That makes no sense in light of Gallup's likely voters at R +1, and Rasmussen’s party ID rolling research of 15,000 or so respondents' R's at +5.8.
So...your evidence is a link that isn't actually evidence at all.

Go look at how the various polling organizations identify likely voters. It isn't just "take the 2008 turnout by party ID, interview people in the same proportion, and project that as the result." That would be utterly idiotic, which is why they don't do it like that. This is something you can easily find out by visiting various polling organizations' web sites and reading what goes into their likely voter models.
 
Old 11-07-2012, 01:09 PM
 
Location: San Francisco
8,982 posts, read 10,456,602 times
Reputation: 5752
Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
so...... margin of error +/- 150?


The resounding question today is, how could so many people have been so completely wrong? It's almost as if they were relying on faith or magic or some other supernatural force to delude themselves into believing things that just ain't so.
 
Old 11-10-2012, 08:00 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,954,054 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
Some of you are completely oblivious to the fact that the skewed polls are heavily and ERRONEOUSLY weighting Democrats (anywhere from +4 to +11) when Gallup has found that this year's likely voters actually favor Republicans +1. AND Independents are breaking for Romney in the double digits.


LOL, this never gets old!
 
Old 11-10-2012, 08:28 PM
 
Location: Indianapolis
2,294 posts, read 2,659,731 times
Reputation: 3151
Quote:
Originally Posted by theunbrainwashed View Post

I made this topic so we can see if we can toss this website out or not in the future.
Oh, OK.

I could have told you the answer to that the minute you posted it. Anyone else who was paying attention and living in the real world could have done the same.
 
Old 11-10-2012, 08:55 PM
 
15,047 posts, read 8,866,999 times
Reputation: 9509
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post

LOL, this never gets old!
No, it doesn't. I'm enjoying seeing all of these old threads by the oh-so-confident-they-were-going-to-win-in-a-LANDSLIDE Republicans being dragged up so we can all laugh heartily. Good times!
 
Old 11-10-2012, 09:46 PM
 
26,680 posts, read 28,657,367 times
Reputation: 7943
Quote:
Originally Posted by InformedConsent View Post
Some of you are completely oblivious to the fact that the skewed polls are heavily and ERRONEOUSLY weighting Democrats (anywhere from +4 to +11) when Gallup has found that this year's likely voters actually favor Republicans +1. AND Independents are breaking for Romney in the double digits.
Is this Dick Morris, or one of his sheep? Baaaaaaa.
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