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Old 11-06-2012, 06:22 AM
 
Location: Greensboro, NC USA
4,596 posts, read 4,414,501 times
Reputation: 1501

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If Obama wins Virginia, Romney could win Florida, Ohio and Colorado and still come up short. The electoral results would be:

Obama 276
Romney 262

In that scenario, Romney would have to take both Iowa & Nevada or just Wisconsin out of Obama's column. But Obama has decent leads in those states. There are at least two paths for Obama without Ohio and Florida. Obama clearly has more paths than Romney so it may or may not come to Ohio. With all the talk about how close the national polls are, Romney has a steeper hill to climb in the electoral math. Obama leads in all battleground states except for one. Obama just needs to win a few of them to get re-elected.

Last edited by gsoboi78; 11-06-2012 at 06:36 AM..

 
Old 11-06-2012, 06:39 AM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
2,968 posts, read 2,633,431 times
Reputation: 1423
I called it last week for Obama:

Obama: 277
Romney: 261
 
Old 11-06-2012, 06:42 AM
 
Location: Closer than you think!
2,145 posts, read 3,323,563 times
Reputation: 1579
Quote:
Originally Posted by kingtodd View Post
I called it last week for Obama:

Obama: 277
Romney: 261
I'm thinking 303 for Obama. I think he wins VA and OH for sure. I'm also confident that he may win FL as well.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 08:06 AM
 
395 posts, read 385,069 times
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I have Romney winning with 271 electoral college votes to 267 for Obama.

Romney loses Ohio but wins FL, NC, CO, NH, WI, and VA.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 08:10 AM
 
Location: Greensboro, NC USA
4,596 posts, read 4,414,501 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by db77 View Post
I have Romney winning with 271 electoral college votes to 267 for Obama.

Romney loses Ohio but wins FL, NC, CO, NH, WI, and VA.
I don't see Romney winning Wisconsin. Maybe FL, NC and CO. Virginia is a toss up.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 08:11 AM
Status: "Be yourself. What's the alternative?" (set 24 days ago)
 
8,720 posts, read 10,857,046 times
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Va and Colorado are the ones to watch. I see Obama winning Wisconsin and even Florida.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 08:12 AM
 
Location: Texas
35,283 posts, read 19,318,608 times
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Default If Obama wins Virginia early in the night, the election is over

It looks to me like there are 4 east coast states that we should be paying attention to this evening: FL, NC, VA and NH. All are considered toss-ups, but if Obama wins any of the four, it's pretty much over early tonight.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 08:14 AM
 
Location: Greensboro, NC USA
4,596 posts, read 4,414,501 times
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Who ever wins Virginia will set the pace for the night and we'll know if its going to be a bad night for Romney or if he hangs in there.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 08:53 AM
 
Location: Chicago Area
8,041 posts, read 4,206,042 times
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Conventional wisdom says Romney needs to win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio. But with the current swing states in play, he could still win after losing any one of those.

Yes he can still win without Virginia.
Yes he can win without Ohio.
Yes he can even win without Florida.

If he loses three of those, then it's over. If he loses two of them, he probably loses.

Should be interesting to see it all play out.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 09:40 AM
 
5,082 posts, read 2,232,154 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by db77 View Post
I have Romney winning with 271 electoral college votes to 267 for Obama.

Romney loses Ohio but wins FL, NC, CO, NH, WI, and VA.

Did you figure in that romney will lose in Missouri?
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