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Old 11-05-2012, 12:28 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,962,294 times
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Many here have mentioned Romney's low rating in Ma, which is a largely blue state. No state is 100% either red or blue.

But I have yet to see anyone mention what I would bet is a fine indicator of Mitt's chances in NH.

His vote total and percentage vs Scott Brown.

Both will lose, but unless MR actually polls several points better than Brown in Ma, I'd bet he loses NH, and quite frankly, it is a good indicator of how Ma feels about him.

After all, if Brown does better, it means folks who split tickets more often voted Brown, and not Romney, vs Romney, but not Brown.

 
Old 11-05-2012, 02:48 PM
 
395 posts, read 458,381 times
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NH went red big time in the 2010 midterms and a large part of that was a rebuke of Obama and the Dems.

If the granite state still feels that way Romney wins here.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 04:56 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,665 posts, read 19,962,294 times
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2010 was a tiny voting block, and they are aware Mitt left Ma with a 30% approval rating. Now if he fares better than Brown in Ma, NH goes Mitt.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 05:53 PM
 
395 posts, read 458,381 times
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Well Bob, I live in NH and I will be getting up bright and early tomorrow morning to do my part to remove Obama from office.

The average granite stater does not care what Romney's approval rating was when he left MA. A lot of independents I know are voting for Romney. If I had to make a prediction I'd say Romney carries NH by 2 to 5 points.

By the way, what the hell are you rambling on about Scott Brown relating to Romney in NH for? it makes no sense.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 06:12 PM
 
Location: NJ
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I am comparing Brown's poll numbers in Ma to Mitts'. Its embarrassing for an ex gov to fare worse than a Senator. That is not Ma being blue, it is Ma residents voting for Brown, and against Romney.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 06:23 PM
 
395 posts, read 458,381 times
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Yeah still don't know what you're talking about. the last time I checked MA and NH were two very different states.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 06:26 PM
 
Location: University City, Philadelphia
22,632 posts, read 14,934,738 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by db77 View Post
NH went red big time in the 2010 midterms and a large part of that was a rebuke of Obama and the Dems.

If the granite state still feels that way Romney wins here.
So did my home state - Pennsylvania. That was 2 years ago ... ancient history in the world of politics.

I am confident Obama will carry both New Hampshire and Pennsylvania.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 06:28 PM
 
8,754 posts, read 10,164,607 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobtn View Post
2010 was a tiny voting block, and they are aware Mitt left Ma with a 30% approval rating. Now if he fares better than Brown in Ma, NH goes Mitt.

From what I know, Mitt is very well liked in NH which has to be a reflection in some part of the job he did in Massachusetts. Him carrying NH is a bit of a stretch but not impossible.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 06:29 PM
 
8,754 posts, read 10,164,607 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Clark Park View Post
So did my home state - Pennsylvania. That was 2 years ago ... ancient history in the world of politics.

I am confident Obama will carry both New Hampshire and Pennsylvania.

I wouldn't bet the grocery money on either one if I were you.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 06:31 PM
 
395 posts, read 458,381 times
Reputation: 362
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clark Park View Post
So did my home state - Pennsylvania. That was 2 years ago ... ancient history in the world of politics.

I am confident Obama will carry both New Hampshire and Pennsylvania.
What makes you so confident that Obama will carry NH?
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