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Old 11-11-2012, 12:01 PM
 
Location: Stasis
15,399 posts, read 9,388,171 times
Reputation: 8250

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Most accurate:
TIPP (Investor's Business Daily), Google Consumer Surveys, Mellman, RAND, CNN

Least accurate:
Gallup, Mason-Dixon, American Research Group, Rasmussen

"It turned out that most polling firms underestimated Mr. Obama’s performance, so those that had seemed to be Democratic-leaning results were often closest to the final outcome. Conversely, polls that were Republican-leaning relative to the consensus did especially poorly."


Which Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race - NYTimes.com
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Old 11-11-2012, 12:42 PM
 
Location: #
9,605 posts, read 14,302,772 times
Reputation: 6261
I know I keep patting myself on the back over this, but some of the names I was called for simply stating that Rasmussen was a poorly run poll were something else. It makes one tempted to spike the football.

To quote ALexus, enjoy Obama's next four years
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Old 11-11-2012, 02:50 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,161 posts, read 1,610,588 times
Reputation: 1278
After completely botching two elections in a row, do you think Rasmussem will get any less love from Republicans in 2014?

Not a chance!

When Rasmussen shows up about 15 months from now, consistently producing polls that are 3-5 points friendlier to Republicans, you'll have the usual crowd here screaming that all the other polls and wrong and that Rasmussen is right!

(they'll also be furiously posting articles from Dick Morris as 'proof' of how great things are going... )
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Old 11-11-2012, 10:09 PM
 
Location: NJ
18,677 posts, read 16,479,951 times
Reputation: 7274
Quote:
Originally Posted by teve.torbes View Post
Rasmussen was pretty good until they scrubbed their model after 2008. My guess is Scott Rasmussen will pay someone to rejigger it to make it more in line with actual voter trends.
I doubt it. SR traded Fox Tv appearences for polling integrity.
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Old 11-11-2012, 10:34 PM
 
Location: Springfield, Ohio
11,806 posts, read 9,753,656 times
Reputation: 10829
Gallup's rep might take a serious hit after this last election.
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Old 11-12-2012, 07:16 AM
 
Location: Greensboro, NC USA
3,996 posts, read 3,855,598 times
Reputation: 1286
Nate Silver was dead on and guess EXACTLY which states Obama and Romney would win. People thought his predictions were ridiculous. A lot of people are eating crow.
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Old 11-12-2012, 07:22 AM
 
Location: NC
10,005 posts, read 8,734,427 times
Reputation: 3062
I now feel entirely justified in having quoted Nate Silver saying that this election was "Gallup vs The World".
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